Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Werewolves

Of 20 developers who shipped a Werewolf Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $250k, ×398 the market median. Revenue is up 375% on the market; 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 375% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 20
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.2k → $1.5k → $2.1k → $1.3k → $12k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 20
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,098)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,401)
Top 5% $250k (exactly $250,075)
Developers, 2 yr 20
Released games 57
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 375% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Pixel Graphics, Dark, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,802 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $250k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood older $29.99 1,463 69% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,316,261) Cyanide Studio
Chronicles of the Wolf $19.99 417 82% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Migami Games
Werewolf: The Inner Beast $19.99 221 76% 6.6k $133k (exactly $132,534) FTRGameStudio
Wolf Mate $6.99 613 93% 18k $129k (exactly $128,546) eTIRUe
Pomberito older $5.99 427 93% 13k $77k (exactly $76,732) Lara the Pitbull
Holy Purge : Exorcist older $9.99 168 69% 5.0k $50k (exactly $50,350) Celeritas Games
Haunted Lands $5.99 251 77% 7.5k $45k (exactly $45,105) alevgor
Carpathian Night Starring Bela Lugosi older $16.99 85 84% 2.6k $43k (exactly $43,324) Tezcatek
Sinister Halloween older $7.99 125 82% 3.8k $30k (exactly $29,962) Celeritas Games
Security: The Horrible Nights $4.99 163 88% 4.9k $24k (exactly $24,401) Professional Villains
Cursed Deal $7.99 51 98% 1.5k $12k (exactly $12,225) Massive Crystal Studios
Stone 4 Souls $9.99 32 78% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Adeilson S Vieira
Rotting Valentine $4.99 37 48% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Era t'my
WOLFMAN · EA $11.99 10 60% 300 $3.6k (exactly $3,597) LithiumStudios
DEMONK $9.99 7 42% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) VETO GAMES

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.