Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Vampires

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Vampire Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Vampires

Of 49 developers who shipped a Vampire Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×2.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×6.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $750; 1 in 20 cleared $480k, ×765 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 71 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 71 announced, ×2.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Vampires
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.2k → $12k → $8.8k → $24k → $12k → $1.5k → $4.2k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Vampires: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,892)
Top 25% $24k (exactly $24,401)
Top 5% $481k (exactly $480,558)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 139
Announced 71
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Vampires
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 22,675 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $24k, 1 in 20 over $480k.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 29 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
V Rising older $34.99 110,505 89% 3.3M $116M (exactly $115,997,098) Stunlock Studios
The Blood of Dawnwalker $69.99 15,789 86% 474k $33M (exactly $33,152,163) Rebel Wolves
Vampyr older $39.99 20,081 77% 602k $24M (exactly $24,091,176) DONTNOD Entertainment
Evil West older $49.99 10,215 74% 306k $15M (exactly $15,319,436) Flying Wild Hog
Banishers: Ghosts of New Eden older $49.99 6,429 84% 193k $9.6M (exactly $9,641,571) DON'T NOD
Castlevania: Lords of Shadow – Ultimate Edition older $29.99 7,998 80% 240k $7.2M (exactly $7,195,801) MercurySteam, Climax Studios
The Infected · EA older $15.99 6,583 84% 197k $3.2M (exactly $3,157,865) DigX Studios
Redfall older $39.99 2,460 40% 74k $3.0M (exactly $2,951,262) Arkane Austin
Legacy of Kain™ Soul Reaver 1&2 Remastered $29.99 3,042 90% 91k $2.7M (exactly $2,736,887) Aspyr, Crystal Dynamics
Castlevania Dominus Collection older $24.99 2,362 94% 71k $1.8M (exactly $1,770,791) KONAMI
Legacy of Kain: Defiance Remastered $24.99 641 96% 19k $481k (exactly $480,558) Crystal Dynamics, PlayEveryWare
Priest Simulator: Vampire Show $19.99 735 94% 22k $441k (exactly $440,779) Asmodev
Night Swarm $9.99 1,142 78% 34k $342k (exactly $342,257) Fubu Games
Legacy of Kain: Ascendance $19.99 423 27% 13k $254k (exactly $253,673) Bit Bot Media
Chronicles of the Wolf $19.99 417 82% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Migami Games
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Monster High™ Skulltimate Secrets™ $39.99 82 71% 2.5k $98k (exactly $98,375) Petoons Studio, Casual Brothers Ltd.
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.