Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Tactics

Of 63 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Tactics Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 117 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 33 developers shipped in the last year and 117 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 117 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $479 → $599 → $269 → $3.3k → $360 → $300 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $23,486)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 196
Announced 117
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Turn-Based Tactics; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.95 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.95 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 1,471 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $23k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 36 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 117 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Miasma Chronicles older $34.99 2,013 79% 60k $2.1M (exactly $2,113,046) The Bearded Ladies
SteamWorld Heist II older $29.99 2,201 93% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240) Thunderful Development
Arco older $19.99 2,185 96% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,344) Franek, Max Cahill, Bibiki, Fáyer
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Chains of Freedom $24.99 520 80% 16k $390k (exactly $389,844) Nordcurrent
Iron Danger older $19.99 544 73% 16k $326k (exactly $326,237) Action Squad Studios
Jagged Alliance: Rage! older $19.99 387 49% 12k $232k (exactly $232,084) Cliffhanger Productions
Police Shootout older $14.99 449 55% 13k $202k (exactly $201,915) Games Incubator, Hypnotic Ants
The DeLuca Family - Season 1 older $15.99 301 75% 9.0k $144k (exactly $144,390) MemoGaming
Kaiju Wars older $19.99 229 76% 6.9k $137k (exactly $137,331) Foolish Mortals Games, Michael Long
Little Witch Survivors $4.99 543 87% 16k $81k (exactly $81,287) 四月二酱
The Fortress $6.99 151 68% 4.5k $32k (exactly $31,665) Baryonyx Games
Aquilon's Sex Quest $6.99 112 70% 3.4k $23k (exactly $23,486) Aquilon
Everfall 2: Idle Dungeon RPG $9.99 42 76% 1.3k $13k (exactly $12,587) GameDevJoey
High Frontier 4 All $19.99 17 17% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog)
Paws and Whiskers $8.99 26 76% 780 $7.0k (exactly $7,012) JohnHang
Void Scout $11.99 18 83% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Adversity Games Ltd.
Augmented Empire $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Coatsink
Bastionforge $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.