Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Turn-Based Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Strategy Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Strategy

Of 50 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Strategy Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 92 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 28 developers shipped in the last year and 92 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 115% on the market, 92 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $776 → $1.8k → $5.1k → $479 → $899 → $629 → $540 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,506)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,290)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 171
Announced 92
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 115% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Turn-Based Strategy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, Turn-Based Tactics
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.95 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.95 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 798 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $450, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 92 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Crown Trick older $19.99 4,509 85% 135k $2.7M (exactly $2,704,047) NEXT Studios
Miasma Chronicles older $34.99 2,013 79% 60k $2.1M (exactly $2,113,046) The Bearded Ladies
SteamWorld Heist II older $29.99 2,201 93% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240) Thunderful Development
Arco older $19.99 2,185 96% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,344) Franek, Max Cahill, Bibiki, Fáyer
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
We Are The Dwarves older $14.99 1,072 75% 32k $482k (exactly $482,078) Whale Rock Games
Chains of Freedom $24.99 520 80% 16k $390k (exactly $389,844) Nordcurrent
Iron Danger older $19.99 544 73% 16k $326k (exactly $326,237) Action Squad Studios
Jagged Alliance: Rage! older $19.99 387 49% 12k $232k (exactly $232,084) Cliffhanger Productions
Mary Skelter 2 older $34.99 198 74% 5.9k $208k (exactly $207,841) Idea Factory
Claws & Chaos $5.99 95 60% 2.9k $17k (exactly $17,072) Parhelion Studio
Eye of the Commando · EA $14.99 34 100% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Adventurepro Games LLC
High Frontier 4 All $19.99 17 17% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog)
EagleRoad:WorldRise $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) XuJie
Augmented Empire $7.99 25 88% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Coatsink
Bastionforge $9.99 17 76% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Gamesforgames
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Guild of Hunters $8.99 17 52% 510 $4.6k (exactly $4,585) Sunny Horizon Game Studio
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.