Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Combat

Of 92 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Combat Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 142 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 56 developers shipped in the last year and 142 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 100% on the market, 142 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 92
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.8k → $6.6k → $419 → $449 → $269 → $299 (still earning) → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 92
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $270 (exactly $270)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,395)
Top 5% $81k (exactly $81,287)
Developers, 2 yr 92
Released games 285
Announced 142
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 100% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Adventure, Action
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Story Rich, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 4,961 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $270, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $81k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 49 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 142 games are announced against 56 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth older $69.99 16,339 90% 490k $34M (exactly $34,306,998) RGG Studio
Eiyuden Chronicle: Hundred Heroes older $49.99 3,164 75% 95k $4.7M (exactly $4,745,051) Rabbit & Bear Studios
ONE PIECE ODYSSEY older $39.99 2,502 78% 75k $3.0M (exactly $3,001,649) ILCA, Inc.
Crown Trick older $19.99 4,509 85% 135k $2.7M (exactly $2,704,047) NEXT Studios
The Legend of Heroes: Trails through Daybreak older $59.99 1,172 91% 35k $2.1M (exactly $2,109,248) Nihon Falcom, PH3 GmbH
Arco older $19.99 2,185 96% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,344) Franek, Max Cahill, Bibiki, Fáyer
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
LumenTale: Memories of Trey $24.99 1,130 70% 34k $847k (exactly $847,161) Beehive Studios
Demon Lord: Just a Block $12.99 2,065 96% 62k $805k (exactly $804,730) YuWave
Adventure Time: Pirates of the Enchiridion older $24.99 944 91% 28k $708k (exactly $707,717) Climax Studios
Chains of Freedom $24.99 520 80% 16k $390k (exactly $389,844) Nordcurrent
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
Little Witch Survivors $4.99 543 87% 16k $81k (exactly $81,287) 四月二酱
Dreamed Away $18.99 59 91% 1.8k $34k (exactly $33,612) WAKE UP GAMES
The Fortress $6.99 151 68% 4.5k $32k (exactly $31,665) Baryonyx Games
Echo Generation 2 $24.99 41 73% 1.2k $31k (exactly $30,738) Cococucumber
Ataegina Act I $11.99 83 92% 2.5k $30k (exactly $29,855) Kthulian
SignaNota $9.99 90 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) IvoryHand

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.