Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Turn-Based

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Turn-Based

Only 3 developers shipped a Turn-Based Action-Adventure in the last 2 years. Over 4 years, 12 did: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 7 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $0 against a market of $630. 7 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 7 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Turn-Based
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr n = 12

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Turn-Based: Plate 1 · outcomes, 4 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $776 (exactly $776)
Median $9.0k (exactly $8,996)
Top 25% $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240)
Top 5% $34M (exactly $34,306,998)
Developers, 4 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 7
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

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Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Turn-Based
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 4 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 30,753 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 4 years by share: 3 in 10 under $780, median $9.0k, 1 in 4 over $1.9M, 1 in 20 over $34M.

3 in 10 developers made under $780. 7 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth older $69.99 16,339 90% 490k $34M (exactly $34,306,998) RGG Studio
Eiyuden Chronicle: Hundred Heroes older $49.99 3,164 75% 95k $4.7M (exactly $4,745,051) Rabbit & Bear Studios
Crown Trick older $19.99 4,509 85% 135k $2.7M (exactly $2,704,047) NEXT Studios
SteamWorld Heist II older $29.99 2,201 93% 66k $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240) Thunderful Development
We. The Revolution older $19.99 1,997 73% 60k $1.2M (exactly $1,197,601) Polyslash
Adventure Time: Pirates of the Enchiridion older $24.99 944 91% 28k $708k (exactly $707,717) Climax Studios
SaGa Emerald Beyond older $49.99 308 72% 9.2k $462k (exactly $461,908) Square Enix
Broken Lines older $24.99 604 76% 18k $453k (exactly $452,819) BirdIsland/PortaPlay
Jagged Alliance: Rage! older $19.99 387 49% 12k $232k (exactly $232,084) Cliffhanger Productions
LEGRAND LEGACY: Tale of the Fatebounds older $19.99 300 67% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) SEMISOFT
Throne Requiem $19.99 4 25% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Michael Richard Lannon
GraeHart $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cole Hardin
Scorpion's Curse $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Kamil Graca

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.