Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Transhumanism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transhumanist Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Transhumanism

Only 15 developers shipped a Transhumanist Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Ambrosia Sky, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $5.1k, ×8.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $840; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×319 the market median. Revenue is up 90% on the market; 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 8.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 90% on the market, 49 announced, ×4.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Transhumanism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $2.1k → $330 → $5.1k → $5.4k (still earning) → $839 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Transhumanism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,266)
Top 5% $200k (exactly $200,170)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 47
Announced 49
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 90% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Transhumanism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 601 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $5.1k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
USAC: Code Breach older $14.99 1,067 91% 32k $480k (exactly $479,830) Questions Factory
Ambrosia Sky $24.99 267 89% 8.0k $200k (exactly $200,170) Soft Rains, Blackbird Interactive
The Anacrusis older $9.99 617 68% 19k $185k (exactly $184,915) Stray Bombay
HELL GALAXY $24.99 89 74% 2.7k $67k (exactly $66,723) Italian Games Factory
Apex Heroines older $19.99 91 87% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) XIAOXIAO STUDIO
Vampire: The Masquerade — Sins of the Sires older $11.99 143 39% 4.3k $51k (exactly $51,437) Choice of Games
SONOKUNI $14.99 109 98% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,017) DON YASA CREW
Mortal Blitz older $19.99 66 72% 2.0k $40k (exactly $39,580) Skonec Entertainment
It Comes In Waves older $2.99 382 92% 11k $34k (exactly $34,265) Antonio Freyre
Messiah older $19.99 51 60% 1.5k $31k (exactly $30,585) Shiny Entertainment
Camelot 10000CE $7.99 47 93% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) Miziziziz
NBB.EXE $19.99 18 100% 540 $11k (exactly $10,795) Raptus Games
Alter Evo $14.99 23 95% 690 $10k (exactly $10,343) Technical Fiction
Forehead Chip $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Naturally Intelligent
Kovoclak $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) lingouf
Serene Estates: Last Guy $12.99 11 100% 330 $4.3k (exactly $4,287) Team Serene
Void Jump VR $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) LemmoLab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.