Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Traditional Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Traditional Roguelike Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Traditional Roguelike

Of 27 developers who shipped a Traditional Roguelike Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $60 in the last 2 years and $120 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 19 developers shipped in the last year and 31 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 31 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Traditional Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.7k → $4.3k → $119 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Traditional Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $60 (exactly $60)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,979)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 47
Announced 31
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 140% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Traditional Roguelike; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Roguelike
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.95 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.95 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 403 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $60, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Blazing Aries older $18.99 366 87% 11k $209k (exactly $208,510) Kuroto Zakka
Silly Survivors $2.99 262 93% 7.9k $24k (exactly $23,501) DenaZ, SillyWorks
Gods Wars : infinity Epic $9.99 70 77% 2.1k $21k (exactly $20,979) YCGame
Senpai and the Mysterious Dungeon older $13.99 40 67% 1.2k $17k (exactly $16,788) Ruhut Soft
Lost in Dungeon / 地牢迷失者 · EA older $4.99 66 65% 2.0k $9.9k (exactly $9,880) GOCORE
Nova-111 older $4.99 54 79% 1.6k $8.1k (exactly $8,084) Funktronic Labs
Autogun Heroes: Supercharged $12.49 13 46% 390 $4.9k (exactly $4,871) Nitro Games
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games
问道仙途 older $2.99 35 68% 1.1k $3.1k (exactly $3,140) 青灯独酌
Protean Fox $6.99 11 100% 330 $2.3k (exactly $2,307) Cat Play
Magic Frog $3.99 14 100% 420 $1.7k (exactly $1,676) Asthon Entertainment Studios
Cat Survivors $4.99 8 87% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Ibon Studios
Exit, Seriously? $3.99 6 83% 180 $718 (exactly $718) Forbidden
Exiles of the Dark Dungeon $2.99 5 60% 150 $449 (exactly $449) 布莱恩和鱼缸工作室
S.U.S $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Cryption Interactive Ltd

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.