Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Submarine

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Submarine Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Submarine

Only 16 developers shipped a Submarine Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Darkwater, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×6.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×472 the market median. Revenue is up 800% on the market; 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 800% on the market, 47 announced, ×6.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Submarine
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $3.4k → $479 → $2.8k → $1.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Submarine: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $2,997)
Top 5% $296k (exactly $296,403)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 47
Announced 47
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 800% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Submarine
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Submarine; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, PvE, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, First-Person, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 1,486 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
IronWolf VR older $19.99 1,087 94% 33k $652k (exactly $651,874) Ionized Studios
Darkwater $9.99 989 77% 30k $296k (exactly $296,403) Targon Studios
The Aquatic Adventure of the Last Human older $9.99 459 73% 14k $138k (exactly $137,562) YCJY Games
Subterror $7.99 397 90% 12k $95k (exactly $95,161) Team Monumental
Depths of Sanity older $14.99 71 92% 2.1k $32k (exactly $31,929) Bomb Shelter Games
Dolphin Spirit: Ocean Mission older $24.99 37 86% 1.1k $28k (exactly $27,739) Magic Pockets
1971: Indian Naval Front older $14.99 57 68% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Neosphere Interactive Studios
Insiders older $13.99 40 80% 1.2k $17k (exactly $16,788) ANG People s.r.o.
Biolum older $3.99 113 81% 3.4k $14k (exactly $13,526) IKO, Reynard Films, Prefrontal Cortex
CRUSH DEPTH $7.99 49 97% 1.5k $12k (exactly $11,745) Earth Giant
Abyss Crew $9.99 10 30% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) PGM Studio, Deep Slap Studio
Submeris $4.99 19 57% 570 $2.8k (exactly $2,844) OxygenStudio
Silent Paradise Anthology $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Dreamnoid
Depth Diver · EA $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Nerra Tolstoï, FLaV
Big Fish $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) TOQ Games
Rusted Sea $9.99 1 0% 30 $300 (exactly $300) Meerkatapult Games
Eclipse Below $1.99 3 66% 90 $179 (exactly $179) CactusBall

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.