Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Strategy RPG

Of 81 developers who shipped a Strategy RPG Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 165 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $130k, ×211 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 165 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 165 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 81
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $297 → $2.9k → $479 → $4.6k → $240 → $719 (still earning) → $150 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 81
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $5.1k (exactly $5,095)
Top 5% $133k (exactly $132,729)
Developers, 2 yr 81
Released games 257
Announced 165
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Strategy RPG; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.90 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.90 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 5,677 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $480, 1 in 4 over $5.0k, 1 in 20 over $130k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 165 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal older $19.99 190,184 56% 5.7M $114M (exactly $114,053,345) 鬼谷工作室
SCARLET NEXUS older $59.99 13,749 81% 412k $25M (exactly $24,744,075) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Erenshor · EA $19.99 2,153 94% 65k $1.3M (exactly $1,291,154) Burgee Media
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
Seablip · EA older $14.99 1,078 81% 32k $485k (exactly $484,777) Jardar Solli
Huaxia: Warring States · EA $19.99 701 61% 21k $420k (exactly $420,390) 秦川汉渚
Machine Mind $19.99 567 71% 17k $340k (exactly $340,030) Chudo-Yudo Games
EdgeOfTheAbyssAwaken older $18.99 542 67% 16k $309k (exactly $308,777) TrinityBJ
Guidus Zero $14.99 609 75% 18k $274k (exactly $273,867) izzle
Dwerve older $19.99 426 70% 13k $255k (exactly $255,472) Half Human Games
DreamEcho $11.99 369 79% 11k $133k (exactly $132,729) HotWaterStudio
生嚿叉燒好過生你 $14.99 284 88% 8.5k $128k (exactly $127,715) 無厘頭遊戲工作室
Blood Crawler $12.99 279 76% 8.4k $109k (exactly $108,726) c3アート
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
汉尘:腐草为萤 · EA $7.99 305 71% 9.2k $73k (exactly $73,108) 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd.
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.