Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Sokoban

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sokoban Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Sokoban

Only 12 developers shipped a Sokoban Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Poke ALL Toads, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×7.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $360 against a market of $630. 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 18835% on the market, 21 announced, ×7.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Sokoban
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $2.0k → $298 → $120 → $19k
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Sokoban: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $18,887)
Top 5% $161k (exactly $160,786)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 49
Announced 21
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 18835% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sokoban
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid pushing rules and level files

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Sokoban
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 98% positive over 590 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $18k, 1 in 20 over $160k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×7.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Poke ALL Toads $11.99 447 100% 13k $161k (exactly $160,786) SpaceMatra
Mess Adventures older $2.99 454 81% 14k $41k (exactly $40,724) Marvelous Games
Waifu Secret older $1.99 677 72% 20k $40k (exactly $40,417) Romantic Room
Soulless: Ray Of Hope older $4.99 208 71% 6.2k $31k (exactly $31,138) ·
Slip 'n Slime $9.99 76 94% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Wild Magic Studio
Sliding Hero $14.99 42 88% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) Silent Chicken
Waifus Smash older $2.99 205 78% 6.2k $18k (exactly $18,388) Galart
Snowman Story older $4.99 120 94% 3.6k $18k (exactly $17,964) Odencat
Invercity older $14.99 39 94% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Marudice
Schein older $4.99 109 69% 3.3k $16k (exactly $16,317) Zeppelin Studio
Super Miners · EA $9.99 13 92% 390 $3.9k (exactly $3,896) METAGAR
Super Blockbuster $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Pikselit Games
Milo's Dream $5.99 2 100% 60 $359 (exactly $359) lightUP
Brain Freeze $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) ggidk
Maze Odyssey $3.99 1 100% 30 $120 (exactly $120) SolarCrystalStudios
Tombs Of Myra $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Asylum Square
Bob's Crystals $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) RedFlare game studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.