Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Logic

Of 162 developers who shipped a Logic Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 255 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 81 developers shipped in the last year and 255 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 255 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 162
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $955 → $1.8k → $1.4k → $359 → $298 → $479 → $359 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 162
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $101k (exactly $100,543)
Developers, 2 yr 162
Released games 459
Announced 255
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,096 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 100 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 255 games are announced against 81 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Judgment 2022 · $11M The Talos Principle 2 2023 · $11M Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure 2025 · $1.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Judgment older $39.99 9,407 93% 282k $11M (exactly $11,285,578) RGG Studio
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Oddsparks: An Automation Adventure $29.99 1,867 82% 56k $1.7M (exactly $1,679,740) Massive Miniteam
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
SOS OPS! older $4.99 4,000 83% 120k $599k (exactly $598,800) ArtDock
Schrodinger's Cat Burglar $19.99 613 97% 18k $368k (exactly $367,616) Abandoned Sheep
Post Trauma $14.99 574 72% 17k $258k (exactly $258,128) RED SOUL GAMES
Teslagrad 2 older $19.99 419 76% 13k $251k (exactly $251,274) Rain Games
The Holy Gosh Darn $19.99 276 96% 8.3k $166k (exactly $165,517) Perfectly Paranormal
Poke ALL Toads $11.99 447 100% 13k $161k (exactly $160,786) SpaceMatra
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Gloomy Eyes $24.99 155 94% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fi… (Atlas V, Be Revolution Gaming, 3Dar, Fishing Cactus, ARTE France)
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
ChromaGun 2: Dye Hard $19.99 117 91% 3.5k $70k (exactly $70,165) Pixel Maniacs

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.