Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Investigation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Investigation

Of 229 developers who shipped an Investigation Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 503 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×325 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 503 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 503 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Investigation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 229
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.2k → $718 → $1.8k → $748 → $1.0k → $599 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Investigation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 229
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,395)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $203,898)
Developers, 2 yr 229
Released games 606
Announced 503
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Investigation; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 23,502 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $900, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 9 in 10 of the 145 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 503 games are announced against 109 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Indiana Jones and the Great Circle $69.99 13,058 89% 392k $27M (exactly $27,417,883) MachineGames
Judgment older $39.99 9,407 93% 282k $11M (exactly $11,285,578) RGG Studio
Sherlock Holmes: The Devil's Daughter older $29.99 12,076 80% 362k $11M (exactly $10,864,777) Frogwares
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
The Sinking City Remastered older $39.99 5,361 75% 161k $6.4M (exactly $6,431,592) Frogwares
Sherlock Holmes Chapter One older $44.99 4,189 77% 126k $5.7M (exactly $5,653,893) Frogwares
We Were Here Together older $12.99 14,481 82% 434k $5.6M (exactly $5,643,246) Total Mayhem Games
Project Winter older $9.99 13,662 84% 410k $4.1M (exactly $4,094,501) Other Ocean Interactive
Sherlock Holmes The Awakened older $39.99 2,612 81% 78k $3.1M (exactly $3,133,616) Frogwares
We Were Here Too older $9.99 9,005 78% 270k $2.7M (exactly $2,698,798) Total Mayhem Games
The Sinking City 2 $49.99 1,410 83% 42k $2.1M (exactly $2,114,577) Frogwares
RAIDOU Remastered: The Mystery of the Soulless Army $49.99 1,045 93% 31k $1.6M (exactly $1,567,186) ATLUS
Subliminal $9.99 3,535 74% 106k $1.1M (exactly $1,059,440) Accidental Studios
1666: Amsterdam · EA $29.99 784 63% 24k $705k (exactly $705,365) Panache Digital Games
Grunn $12.99 1,345 95% 40k $524k (exactly $524,146) Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart
Responding · EA $24.99 409 45% 12k $307k (exactly $306,627) Visionary Studios
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Ghost Janitors $9.99 917 87% 28k $275k (exactly $274,825) Interactive Wave Studio
Killing Time: Resurrected $24.99 320 92% 9.6k $240k (exactly $239,904) Nightdive Studios, 3DO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.