Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Heist
Should I ship a Heist Action-Adventure?
Action-Adventure + Heist
Of 28 developers who shipped a Heist Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.4k, ×5.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×4471 the market median. Revenue is down 25% on the market; 79 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.4k (exactly $3,418) |
| Top 25% | $117k (exactly $116,583) |
| Top 5% | $2.8M (exactly $2,807,927) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 28 |
| Released games | 91 |
| Announced | 79 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $8.00 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Action-Adventure
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Heist
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Action-Adventure; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Exploration
- Price point
- $8.00 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Funny, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.00.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 28,592 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + BikesFair
- + TransportationFair
- + MotorbikeFair
- + TypingLong shot
- + Time AttackLong shot
- + Character Action GamePoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds
Comparable games
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition 2018 · $86M 
Star Wars Outlaws 2024 · $26M 
LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2 2017 · $4.5M 
Crime Simulator 2025 · $2.8M 
SteamWorld Heist II 2024 · $2.0M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition | older | $39.99 | 71,706 84% | 2.2M | $86M (exactly $86,025,688) | Eidos-Montréal, Crystal Dynamics, Nixxe… (Eidos-Montréal, Crystal Dynamics, Nixxes, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral interactive (Linux)) |
| | Star Wars Outlaws | $69.99 | 12,268 71% | 368k | $26M (exactly $25,759,120) | Massive Entertainment – A Ubisoft Studio | |
| | LEGO® Marvel Super Heroes 2 | older | $19.99 | 7,452 86% | 224k | $4.5M (exactly $4,468,964) | TT Games, Feral Interactive (Mac) |
| | Crime Simulator | $14.99 | 6,244 82% | 187k | $2.8M (exactly $2,807,927) | CookieDev | |
| | SteamWorld Heist II | older | $29.99 | 2,201 93% | 66k | $2.0M (exactly $1,980,240) | Thunderful Development |
 | Burglin' Gnomes | $9.99 | 4,635 83% | 139k | $1.4M (exactly $1,389,110) | Fobri | |
 | The Break-In | $19.99 | 2,040 87% | 61k | $1.2M (exactly $1,223,388) | jorgen games Ltd, Oliver Josh | |
 | The Greatest Penguin Heist of All Time | $14.99 | 2,361 90% | 71k | $1.1M (exactly $1,061,742) | That Fish, That Other Fish | |
 | Turnip Boy Robs a Bank | older | $14.99 | 1,890 95% | 57k | $850k (exactly $849,933) | Snoozy Kazoo |
 | American Theft 80s | older | $19.99 | 1,029 73% | 31k | $617k (exactly $617,091) | Noble Muffins |
 | Thief VR: Legacy of Shadow | $19.99 | 340 75% | 10k | $204k (exactly $203,898) | Maze Theory | |
 | Midnight Heist | $9.99 | 389 92% | 12k | $117k (exactly $116,583) | MediaTale | |
 | Relooted | $14.99 | 257 87% | 7.7k | $116k (exactly $115,573) | Nyamakop | |
 | The Memory Thieves | · EA | $6.99 | 40 80% | 1.2k | $8.4k (exactly $8,388) | Otherside Studio |
 | Gauley : Experience Nepal | · EA | $14.99 | 18 88% | 540 | $8.1k (exactly $8,095) | Ashim Shakya |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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