Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Farming Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Farming Sim Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Farming Sim

Of 43 developers who shipped a Farming Sim Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 95 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.2k, ×9.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×641 the market median. Revenue is down 50% on the market; 95 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 9.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 50% on the market, 95 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Farming Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 43
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.3k → $1.3M → $748 → $21k → $2.4k → $7.2k → $359 (still earning) → $9.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Farming Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 43
Bottom 30% $718 (exactly $718)
Median $6.2k (exactly $6,235)
Top 25% $28k (exactly $28,186)
Top 5% $403k (exactly $402,616)
Developers, 2 yr 43
Released games 100
Announced 95
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 50% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Farming Sim
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Farming Sim; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 5,227 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $6.2k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 7 in 10 of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 95 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Weed Shop 3 older $19.99 3,956 93% 119k $2.4M (exactly $2,372,413) Weed Games
Wildmender older $24.99 1,797 85% 54k $1.3M (exactly $1,347,211) Muse Games
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Grunn $12.99 1,345 95% 40k $524k (exactly $524,146) Sokpop Collective, Tom van den Boogaart
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Serin Fate older $19.99 458 73% 14k $275k (exactly $274,663) Vethergen
Monster Harvest older $16.99 458 53% 14k $233k (exactly $233,443) Maple Powered Games
Fox Sex Farm $17.99 413 82% 12k $223k (exactly $222,896) R's
Oppidum $29.99 161 67% 4.8k $145k (exactly $144,852) EP Games®
Border Town $14.99 253 77% 7.6k $114k (exactly $113,774) GoHoGames
The Last FARMER $12.99 258 56% 7.7k $101k (exactly $100,543) Geekon
汉尘:腐草为萤 · EA $7.99 305 71% 9.2k $73k (exactly $73,108) 兰廷科技 Lanting Technology Co., Ltd.
The Economy Bros $19.99 56 82% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Devin Carlson
World Crafter TD $14.99 70 48% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Tbjbu2

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.