Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Dinosaurs

Of 41 developers who shipped a Dinosaur Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.6k, ×4.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×886 the market median. Revenue is up 35% on the market; 84 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 35% on the market, 84 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $2.6k → $1.8k → $599 → $2.6k → $11k → $1.8k (still earning) → $20k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $30,746)
Top 5% $556k (exactly $556,277)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 122
Announced 84
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 35% on the market, supply 30% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Crafting
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 9,001 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $2.6k, 1 in 4 over $30k, 1 in 20 over $550k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 23 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Tomb Raider: Anniversary 2007 · $1.8M Dinoblade 2026 · $1.5M Tomb Raider I (1996) 2012 · $847k LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 2025 · $669k FEROCIOUS 2025 · $556k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Tomb Raider: Anniversary older $8.99 6,644 81% 199k $1.8M (exactly $1,791,887) Crystal Dynamics
Dinoblade $19.99 2,420 90% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,274) Team Spino LLC
Tomb Raider I (1996) older $6.99 4,039 85% 121k $847k (exactly $846,978) Core Design
LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 $9.99 2,232 94% 67k $669k (exactly $668,930) the Bratans, Smola Game Studio
FEROCIOUS $24.99 742 63% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) OMYOG
Grand Emprise: Time Travel Survival older $19.99 807 69% 24k $484k (exactly $483,958) Tbjbu2
Clawed $19.99 729 52% 22k $437k (exactly $437,181) Flatrock Games
Dinotica $17.99 746 86% 22k $403k (exactly $402,616) XA Studio
Deathground · EA $14.99 877 61% 26k $394k (exactly $394,387) Jaw Drop Games
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
Tamer: King of Dinosaurs · EA $24.99 347 86% 10k $260k (exactly $260,146) Ride the Lion Studios
Dino Path Trail $14.99 197 76% 5.9k $89k (exactly $88,591) Void Pointer
DragonRoad $19.98 82 91% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,151) XuJie

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.