Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Card Game

Only 17 developers shipped a Card Game Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Demon Lord: Just a Block, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 53 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $800k, ×1281 the market median. Revenue is up 235% on the market; 53 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 235% on the market, 53 announced, ×4.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $0 → $239 → $540 → $31k (still earning) → $240 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $240 (exactly $240)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,248)
Top 5% $805k (exactly $804,730)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 60
Announced 53
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 235% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Card Game; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Deckbuilding, Exploration
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $15.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2.5D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $15.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,002 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.2k, 1 in 20 over $800k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 9 in 10 of the 13 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 53 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Book of Demons older $24.99 8,010 91% 240k $6.0M (exactly $6,005,097) Thing Trunk
Demon Lord: Just a Block $12.99 2,065 96% 62k $805k (exactly $804,730) YuWave
9th Dawn Remake $15.99 514 86% 15k $247k (exactly $246,566) Valorware
the cabin game · EA $11.99 362 86% 11k $130k (exactly $130,211) Twisted Corridor👻
Last Regiment older $19.99 55 90% 1.7k $33k (exactly $32,984) Boomzap Inc
Echo Generation 2 $24.99 41 73% 1.2k $31k (exactly $30,738) Cococucumber
Playable Mockup older $6.99 75 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) 727 Not Hound
Rock and Roots older $14.99 18 77% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) XOCUS
Cards We're Dealt older $9.99 19 68% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Tiny Shiny Things
Chameleon - DYH older $4.99 27 100% 810 $4.0k (exactly $4,042) DYH
KindFolx $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Tristan Barona
Enough with the Witch $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Birdy Games
Caelum's Crux $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Petros Giannopoulos
GGnZ: Deck of the Dead $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Evil Bunneh
Pix Eliz Great Trilogy $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) LM2Play Studio, Marion L'asticot
Darkrise: War of the Undead $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Wynand Smit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.