Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Card Battler

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Battler Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Card Battler

Only 15 developers shipped a Card Battler Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Echo Generation 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $30k, ×49 the market median. Revenue is up 460% on the market; 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 460% on the market, 44 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Card Battler
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $239 → $2.2k → $1.2k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Card Battler: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,302)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $30,738)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 51
Announced 44
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 460% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Card Battler
effort 3 / 10 · high · card rules plus simple encounter logic

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Card Battler; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Strategy, Tactical
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 160 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
The Knight Witch older $19.99 643 72% 19k $386k (exactly $385,607) Super Mega Team
Echo Generation 2 $24.99 41 73% 1.2k $31k (exactly $30,738) Cococucumber
Silan: Monster Girl Master! $8.99 60 95% 1.8k $16k (exactly $16,182) 愛の勇者
Playable Mockup older $6.99 75 89% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,728) 727 Not Hound
EndCycle VS older $4.99 81 88% 2.4k $12k (exactly $12,126) 12B3
High Frontier 4 All $19.99 17 17% 510 $10k (exactly $10,195) Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, N… (Johan Brandt, Stewart Wan, Erik Lund, Nicolas Mondino, Theo Sandén, Leonard Wahlund, Alexander Wahrenstedt, Carl Nordholm, Erico Pizarro Gutierrez, Natdanai Puthom, Olivia Bernardsson, Dag Petersen, Sam Abou-Gabal, Pablo Schmidt, Spilios Kehagias, Aphiwit Lekphet, Zongying Liu, Markus Vikmanis, Kamila Kuzmiuk, Edvin Skogsholm Sanne, Janina Carvajal Ibacache, Adam Kallberg, Ricky Truong, Carl Forden, Robin Christopher Öhman Tejre, Malte Gundhus, Mathias Novakovic, Christopher Vedlund, Ivo Öjhage, Benjamin Grissom, Linus Granskog)
Dice Assassin older $2.99 76 69% 2.3k $6.8k (exactly $6,817) Afil Games
Trial of Ariah $11.95 12 91% 360 $4.3k (exactly $4,302) 30 Minute Games
CARDMON older $2.99 36 77% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Nomas Games
KindFolx $14.99 5 80% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Tristan Barona
Kinap $2.99 13 100% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Golden Adam Games
Enough with the Witch $4.99 5 100% 150 $748 (exactly $748) Birdy Games
Caelum's Crux $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Petros Giannopoulos
GGnZ: Deck of the Dead $17.99 1 100% 30 $540 (exactly $540) Evil Bunneh
Darkrise: War of the Undead $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Wynand Smit

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.