Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Bullet Time

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bullet Time Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Bullet Time

Of 53 developers who shipped a Bullet Time Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 121 more are announced, ×5.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $64k, ×103 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 121 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 121 announced, ×5.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Bullet Time
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 53
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $2.8k → $1.2k → $1.4k → $891 → $898 → $594 (still earning) → $1.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Bullet Time: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 53
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $629 (exactly $629)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,507)
Top 5% $65k (exactly $64,820)
Developers, 2 yr 53
Released games 178
Announced 121
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 35% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Bullet Time
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Bullet Time; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, Story Rich, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 5,114 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $630, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $64k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 35 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 121 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HARD BULLET · EA older $19.99 5,860 83% 176k $3.5M (exactly $3,514,242) GexagonVR
Arco older $19.99 2,185 96% 66k $1.3M (exactly $1,310,344) Franek, Max Cahill, Bibiki, Fáyer
Sairento VR older $29.99 1,448 86% 43k $1.3M (exactly $1,302,766) Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holding… (Mixed Realms Pte Ltd, Swag Soft Holdings Pte Ltd)
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Blazing Beaks older $14.99 2,043 84% 61k $919k (exactly $918,737) Applava
El Paso, Elsewhere older $19.99 1,393 90% 42k $835k (exactly $835,382) Strange Scaffold
Gungrave G.O.R.E older $29.99 744 71% 22k $669k (exactly $669,377) Iggymob Co.,Ltd
Grandpa High on Retro $7.99 2,068 88% 62k $496k (exactly $495,700) Ashnell Games
Mr. Shifty older $14.99 855 88% 26k $384k (exactly $384,494) Team Shifty
Warhammer 40,000: Battle Sister older $19.99 596 70% 18k $357k (exactly $357,421) Soul Assembly Ltd
Gun Frog $4.99 433 94% 13k $65k (exactly $64,820) Zoteling
SignaNota $9.99 90 94% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) IvoryHand
Deadliest Pigeon $6.99 99 93% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Rusty Rex
Sacre Bleu $14.99 46 82% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) Hildring Studio Inc
COLD VR $19.99 28 60% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) ALLWARE LLC
Happy Monster · EA $8.99 41 82% 1.2k $11k (exactly $11,058) Destined Game Studio
Spear $9.99 17 100% 510 $5.1k (exactly $5,095) Andrea Cavuoto
SLASHING NIGHT $7.99 20 65% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) YUGIKOBO

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.