Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Arena Shooter Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter

Of 123 developers who shipped an Arena Shooter Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 226 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 65 developers shipped in the last year and 226 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 226 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 123
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $2.4k → $836 → $479 → $418 → $599 → $150 (still earning) → $4.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Arena Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 123
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Top 5% $44k (exactly $44,356)
Developers, 2 yr 123
Released games 406
Announced 226
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Arena Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Arena Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,935 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.3k, 1 in 20 over $44k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 76 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 226 games are announced against 65 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

HARD BULLET 2020 · EA · $3.5M Rollerdrome 2022 · $1.3M Redeemer: Enhanced Edition 2017 · $949k TerraTech Legion 2026 · $632k Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend 2020 · $489k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
HARD BULLET · EA older $19.99 5,860 83% 176k $3.5M (exactly $3,514,242) GexagonVR
Rollerdrome older $29.99 1,486 91% 45k $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) Roll7
Redeemer: Enhanced Edition older $11.99 2,637 87% 79k $949k (exactly $948,529) Sobaka Studio
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Alien Shooter 2 - The Legend older $14.99 1,087 52% 33k $489k (exactly $488,824) Sigma Team Inc.
Oblivity - Find your perfect Sensitivity older $9.99 1,457 81% 44k $437k (exactly $436,663) Poly Games
Frogmonster older $19.99 585 96% 18k $351k (exactly $350,824) Ben Jungwirth
BRUTAL JOHN 2 · EA $12.99 546 94% 16k $213k (exactly $212,776) OldSchool Laws Team
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
Golden Chambers · EA $19.99 195 80% 5.9k $117k (exactly $116,941) Mr. Pink
BeastLink · EA $19.99 187 45% 5.6k $112k (exactly $112,144) Grove Street Games
Breach Protocol $14.99 149 69% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,005) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Cyberpunk SFX $9.99 183 83% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,845) Whale Rock Games
Only Whores Survive 🔞 $9.99 148 61% 4.4k $44k (exactly $44,356) BanzaiProject
BRAZILIAN DRUG DEALER BEFORE 4: DEMONS FROM THE PORTAL TO HELL I OPENED ARE STILL IN THE FAVELA AND NOW I HAVE TO SAVE MAMADAS FROM RONALDO $4.99 173 99% 5.2k $26k (exactly $25,898) Joeveno
DOGENSTEIN $4.99 146 73% 4.4k $22k (exactly $21,856) Marc Leclerc
Deadliest Pigeon $6.99 99 93% 3.0k $21k (exactly $20,760) Rusty Rex

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.