Do I ship it?

GamesActionAction + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Action game?

Action + Werewolves

Of 41 developers who shipped a Werewolf Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 72 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×2.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $120k, ×205 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 72 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 72 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.9k → $1.2k → $7.3k → $2.1k → $1.2k → $1.3k (still earning) → $1.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $359 (exactly $359)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,349)
Top 25% $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 5% $129k (exactly $128,546)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 123
Announced 72
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action-Adventure, Adventure, 2D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Dark
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 2,636 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $4.4k, 1 in 20 over $120k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 8 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 72 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Town of Salem older $4.99 30,882 88% 926k $4.6M (exactly $4,623,035) BlankMediaGames
Werewolf: The Apocalypse - Earthblood older $29.99 1,463 69% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,316,261) Cyanide Studio
Darksburg older $14.99 1,656 63% 50k $745k (exactly $744,703) Shiro Games
Project Werewulf $29.99 778 83% 23k $700k (exactly $699,967) FTRGameStudio
Legendary older $5.99 2,184 57% 66k $392k (exactly $392,465) Spark Unlimited
Chronicles of the Wolf $19.99 417 82% 13k $250k (exactly $250,075) Migami Games
GIBZ older $5.99 1,321 88% 40k $237k (exactly $237,384) Torrunt
Eville older $14.99 433 68% 13k $195k (exactly $194,720) VestGames
Overcast - Walden and the Werewolf older $4.99 1,236 61% 37k $185k (exactly $185,029) Microblast Games
Estella's Nightmare: Sealed Space and a Succubus's Curse older $9.99 512 70% 15k $153k (exactly $153,446) Playmeow
Werewolf: The Inner Beast $19.99 221 76% 6.6k $133k (exactly $132,534) FTRGameStudio
Wolf Mate $6.99 613 93% 18k $129k (exactly $128,546) eTIRUe
Terrordrome - Reign of the Legends $19.99 168 72% 5.0k $101k (exactly $100,750) Huracan Studio
Haunted Lands $5.99 251 77% 7.5k $45k (exactly $45,105) alevgor
Janosik 2 $8.99 70 95% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) Onix Games
Cursed Deal $7.99 51 98% 1.5k $12k (exactly $12,225) Massive Crystal Studios
Stone 4 Souls $9.99 32 78% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Adeilson S Vieira
Liquidator 2: Welcome to Hell $6.99 35 62% 1.1k $7.3k (exactly $7,340) Parallax Arts Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.