Do I ship it?

Games › Action › Action + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Logic Action game?

Action + Logic

Of 310 developers who shipped a Logic Action game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 441 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 441 games are announced against 173 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper, while revenue is up 55% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 55% on the market, 441 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 310
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.1k → $898 → $598 → $299 → $539 → $300 (still earning) → $300 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 310
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $386 (exactly $386)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $93k (exactly $93,275)
Developers, 2 yr 310
Released games 1,016
Announced 441
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 55% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action, Logic; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 26,816 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $390, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $93k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 168 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 441 games are announced against 173 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Judgment 2022 · $11M The Talos Principle 2 2023 · $11M Lost Judgment 2022 · $9.0M IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator 2026 · $8.0M Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Judgment older $39.99 9,407 93% 282k $11M (exactly $11,285,578) RGG Studio
The Talos Principle 2 older $29.99 12,478 94% 374k $11M (exactly $11,226,457) Croteam
Lost Judgment older $39.99 7,461 93% 224k $9.0M (exactly $8,950,962) RGG Studio
IRON NEST: Heavy Turret Simulator $19.99 13,278 97% 398k $8.0M (exactly $7,962,817) Nick Nieuwoudt, Dominik Latos
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Drop Duchy $14.99 2,962 89% 89k $1.3M (exactly $1,332,011) Sleepy Mill Studio
Braid, Anniversary Edition older $19.99 1,761 92% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,056,072) Thekla, Inc.
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
Zup! S older $1.99 15,168 96% 455k $906k (exactly $905,530) Quiet River
Last Room older $29.99 953 73% 29k $857k (exactly $857,414) Quantum Forge Studios
Glyphica: Typing Survival · EA $9.99 2,488 90% 75k $746k (exactly $745,654) aliasBLACK
Is this Game Trying to Kill Me? $14.99 1,513 95% 45k $680k (exactly $680,396) Stately Snail
Granny: Escape Together $9.99 1,661 79% 50k $498k (exactly $497,802) CreepyToad
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Agatha Christie - Death on the Nile $39.99 221 78% 6.6k $265k (exactly $265,134) Microids Studio Lyon
Atomcraft $14.99 407 94% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) Triplejump
Bat to the Heavens $14.99 407 95% 12k $183k (exactly $183,028) ceroro

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.