Do I ship it?

Games › Action › Action + Birds

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Bird Action game?

Action + Birds

Only 13 developers shipped a Bird Action game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right!, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 7 developers shipped in the last year and 19 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 19 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action + Birds
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $0 → $3.8k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action + Birds: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,778)
Top 5% $108k (exactly $108,415)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 26
Announced 19
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Birds
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Action
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 86% positive over 789 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseFair16 devs · median $103k · 18 announced
  2. + Job SimulatorFair25 devs · median $14k · 30 announced
  3. + PinballFair42 devs · median $2.6k · 48 announced
  4. + Escape RoomFair43 devs · median $1.8k · 40 announced
  5. + Football (American)Fair16 devs · median $1.3k · 6 announced
  6. + BaseballFair16 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  7. + BilliardsFair19 devs · median $958 · 25 announced
  8. + IdlerFair225 devs · median $898 · 292 announced
  9. + TennisFair23 devs · median $628 · 12 announced
  10. + Time AttackFair90 devs · median $599 · 110 announced
  11. + TabletopFair71 devs · median $505 · 86 announced
  12. + WuxiaPoor odds9 devs · median $189k · 36 announced

All 288 pairs on the Action page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SkateBIRD 2021 · $382k GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! 2025 · $108k VORON: Raven’s Story 2025 · $60k Secrets of Rætikon 2014 · $51k Bird 2021 · EA · $26k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SkateBIRD older $19.99 637 85% 19k $382k (exactly $382,009) Glass Bottom Games
GuGu Pizza : Delivering Pizza to the Space Station? Boss, this is just not right! $6.99 517 87% 16k $108k (exactly $108,415) AnomalyGuys
VORON: Raven’s Story $9.99 199 90% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,640) Merk Games
Secrets of Rætikon older $9.99 171 69% 5.1k $51k (exactly $51,249) Broken Rules
Bird · EA older $0.99 872 80% 26k $26k (exactly $25,898) Meng Games
1971: Indian Naval Front older $14.99 57 68% 1.7k $26k (exactly $25,633) Neosphere Interactive Studios
Kiopioke! older $9.99 23 82% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) HardieSoftworks
Grayland older $4.99 36 80% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) 1DER Entertainment
Bird Game 3 $2.49 52 65% 1.6k $3.9k (exactly $3,884) Birdgame Studios
Birds Hunter · EA $17.99 7 100% 210 $3.8k (exactly $3,778) Bassel Laoun
Kitty Loves Birds $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Claudiu V.
Birb Game $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Gregstr, ShortWhileGames
3 Hit Blunders Bundle $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Late teur t' gem
Silly Bird Sequel $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) no Entertainment
Snowpult $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Construct Games
Super Komio Island $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) FiveChook

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.