Should I ship a Music 6DOF game?
6DOF + Music
Only 6 developers shipped a Music 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Maestro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.
Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $53k against a market of $630. 5 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $25k (exactly $25,187) |
|---|---|
| Median | $53k (exactly $52,774) |
| Top 25% | $58k (exactly $57,562) |
| Top 5% | $407k (exactly $407,087) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 6 |
| Released games | 42 |
| Announced | 5 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 50% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $14.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,105 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $26k. 5 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + RhythmPoor odds
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
Comparable games
Maestro 2024 · $407k 
Drums Rock 2023 · $241k 
Audio Trip 2022 · $167k 
Holodance 2020 · $121k 
Maestro VR 2022 · EA · $101k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Maestro | $24.99 | 543 96% | 16k | $407k (exactly $407,087) | Double Jack | |
| | Drums Rock | older | $19.99 | 402 88% | 12k | $241k (exactly $241,079) | Garage51 |
| | Audio Trip | older | $19.99 | 278 91% | 8.3k | $167k (exactly $166,717) | Kinemotik Studios |
| | Holodance | older | $19.99 | 201 85% | 6.0k | $121k (exactly $120,540) | narayana games UG |
| | Maestro VR | · EA older | $29.99 | 112 62% | 3.4k | $101k (exactly $100,766) | Symphonic Games |
 | Dance Dash | · EA older | $19.99 | 155 82% | 4.7k | $93k (exactly $92,954) | Rebuff Reality |
 | Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! | older | $34.99 | 65 86% | 2.0k | $68k (exactly $68,230) | Gemdrops, Inc. |
 | DrumBeats VR | $14.99 | 128 65% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Expe… (Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Experiences BV) | |
 | Trombone Champ: Unflattened | $19.99 | 88 97% | 2.6k | $53k (exactly $52,774) | Flat2VR Studios, Holy Wow Studios LLC | |
 | Polynomial 2 - Universe of the Music | · EA older | $11.99 | 133 79% | 4.0k | $48k (exactly $47,840) | Dmytry Lavrov, Alexey Lavrov |
 | Beat the Beats VR | $19.99 | 48 97% | 1.4k | $29k (exactly $28,786) | Parallel Circles | |
 | Dance Eden | $19.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | DigiEden | |
 | Hop Step Sing! Summer Live 2023 | $29.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $11k (exactly $10,796) | Kodansha, Kodansha VR Lab |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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