Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic 6DOF game?

6DOF + Post-apocalyptic

Only 12 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Metro Awakening, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.7M, ×4317 the market median. Revenue is up 80% on the market; 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 80% on the market, 15 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $46k → $8.1k → $6.5k → $6.8k → $6.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,507)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,394)
Top 5% $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 15
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 80% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF
Price point
$11.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 3,663 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.7k, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $2.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + CyberpunkPoor odds8 devs · median $9.6k · 17 announced
  9. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced
  12. + Immersive SimPoor odds48 devs · median $2.7k · 87 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Metro Awakening $29.99 3,013 73% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,710,796) Vertigo Games
Zero Caliber 2 Remastered $24.99 433 79% 13k $325k (exactly $324,620) XREAL Games
Apocalyptic Vibes older $19.99 309 73% 9.3k $185k (exactly $185,307) Amanito Computing
Death Horizon: Reloaded older $19.99 76 80% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Horizon Lab LLP
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
The Burst older $15.99 76 72% 2.3k $36k (exactly $36,457) GoRapid Studio
Gambit! older $19.99 38 26% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) XREAL Games
Daybreaker VR · EA older $19.99 28 35% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Liens, Power Up to Maximum
Rotten Apple older $14.99 36 83% 1.1k $16k (exactly $16,189) VRilliant Studios
UNDER the WATER - an ocean survival game older $9.99 50 34% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) UTW Team
Harpagun $19.99 19 73% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Something Random
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
T.D.Z. 4 Chapter 1 - Arrival $5.99 38 92% 1.1k $6.8k (exactly $6,829) Team GZ, VADIM CHURILOV
Blood Night · EA $1.99 109 95% 3.3k $6.5k (exactly $6,507) Team
Evacuation Zone: Tampere $11.99 18 88% 540 $6.5k (exactly $6,475) Virtual Dawn
Samsara $9.99 6 50% 180 $1.8k (exactly $1,798) Narriflux
Th3_M1dday_L4dies $5.99 9 44% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) nonhumans
Rogue Piñatas: VRmageddon $24.99 2 0% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) Nerd Ninjas

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.