Should I ship a Rhythm 6DOF game?
6DOF + Rhythm
Only 12 developers shipped a Rhythm 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Maestro, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $11k, ×17 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×648 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $300 (exactly $300) |
|---|---|
| Median | $11k (exactly $10,796) |
| Top 25% | $53k (exactly $52,774) |
| Top 5% | $407k (exactly $407,087) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 9 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- 6DOF, Rhythm
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 885 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
6DOF with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + RoguelikeFair
- + TacticalFair
- + RobotsFair
- + WarFair
- + Dark FantasyFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + CyberpunkPoor odds
- + MilitaryPoor odds
- + Post-apocalypticPoor odds
- + RomancePoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
Comparable games
Maestro 2024 · $407k 
Drums Rock 2023 · $241k 
Audio Trip 2022 · $167k 
Holodance 2020 · $121k 
Maestro VR 2022 · EA · $101k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Maestro | $24.99 | 543 96% | 16k | $407k (exactly $407,087) | Double Jack | |
| | Drums Rock | older | $19.99 | 402 88% | 12k | $241k (exactly $241,079) | Garage51 |
| | Audio Trip | older | $19.99 | 278 91% | 8.3k | $167k (exactly $166,717) | Kinemotik Studios |
| | Holodance | older | $19.99 | 201 85% | 6.0k | $121k (exactly $120,540) | narayana games UG |
| | Maestro VR | · EA older | $29.99 | 112 62% | 3.4k | $101k (exactly $100,766) | Symphonic Games |
 | Dance Dash | · EA older | $19.99 | 155 82% | 4.7k | $93k (exactly $92,954) | Rebuff Reality |
 | Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! | older | $34.99 | 65 86% | 2.0k | $68k (exactly $68,230) | Gemdrops, Inc. |
 | DrumBeats VR | $14.99 | 128 65% | 3.8k | $58k (exactly $57,562) | Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Expe… (Marcel Eissens, VRROOM Ultimate VR Experiences BV) | |
 | Trombone Champ: Unflattened | $19.99 | 88 97% | 2.6k | $53k (exactly $52,774) | Flat2VR Studios, Holy Wow Studios LLC | |
 | Polynomial 2 - Universe of the Music | · EA older | $11.99 | 133 79% | 4.0k | $48k (exactly $47,840) | Dmytry Lavrov, Alexey Lavrov |
 | Beat the Beats VR | $19.99 | 48 97% | 1.4k | $29k (exactly $28,786) | Parallel Circles | |
 | Dance Eden | $19.99 | 42 85% | 1.3k | $25k (exactly $25,187) | DigiEden | |
 | Hop Step Sing! Summer Live 2023 | $29.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $11k (exactly $10,796) | Kodansha, Kodansha VR Lab | |
 | RAGER | $19.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $9.6k (exactly $9,595) | Insane Prey | |
 | RHYTHMIC | · EA | $9.99 | 5 80% | 150 | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) | Polar Studios Robin Kammel |
 | ZipRush: Surf the Void | · EA | $9.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | Narriflux |
 | Cyber Tunnel Escape | $3.99 | 2 0% | 60 | $239 (exactly $239) | Li Zekang |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.