Do I ship it?

Games6DOF6DOF + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk 6DOF game?

6DOF + Cyberpunk

Only 8 developers shipped a Cyberpunk 6DOF game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Roboquest VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $9.6k, ×15 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $350k, ×566 the market median. Revenue is up 14345% on the market; 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 15.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 14345% on the market, 17 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
6DOF + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $390 → $48k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 6DOF + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $9.6k (exactly $9,595)
Top 25% $238k (exactly $237,541)
Top 5% $355k (exactly $355,382)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 44
Announced 17
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $19.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 14345% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

6DOF
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
6DOF
Price point
$19.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 4,585 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $9.6k, 1 in 4 over $230k, 1 in 20 over $350k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 17 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

6DOF with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RoguelikeFair15 devs · median $4.7k · 7 announced
  2. + TacticalFair14 devs · median $2.4k · 19 announced
  3. + RobotsFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  4. + WarFair11 devs · median $1.8k · 10 announced
  5. + Dark FantasyFair12 devs · median $1.8k · 12 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair29 devs · median $958 · 39 announced
  7. + RhythmPoor odds12 devs · median $11k · 9 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds10 devs · median $7.6k · 17 announced
  9. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds12 devs · median $6.5k · 15 announced
  10. + RomancePoor odds13 devs · median $3.6k · 8 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds32 devs · median $3.6k · 69 announced
  12. + Immersive SimPoor odds48 devs · median $2.7k · 87 announced

All 90 pairs on the 6DOF page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
VR Paradise - Steam Edition older $19.99 952 86% 29k $571k (exactly $570,914) Totem Entertainment
Roboquest VR $29.99 395 87% 12k $355k (exactly $355,382) Flat2VR Studios, RyseUp Studios
Captain Hardcore · EA $39.99 198 80% 5.9k $238k (exactly $237,541) AntiZero Games
STRIDE: Fates older $29.99 149 51% 4.5k $134k (exactly $134,055) Joy Way
Dance Dash · EA older $19.99 155 82% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) Rebuff Reality
The Secret of Retropolis older $9.99 162 92% 4.9k $49k (exactly $48,551) Peanut Button
Elvenfoundry $34.99 46 67% 1.4k $48k (exactly $48,286) SunbathGames
AquaNox older $4.99 287 76% 8.6k $43k (exactly $42,964) Massive Development
AquaNox 2: Revelation older $4.99 205 78% 6.2k $31k (exactly $30,688) Massive Development
RAGER $19.99 16 100% 480 $9.6k (exactly $9,595) Insane Prey
Pixel Arcade · EA $9.99 5 100% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) CJG Studio
Neon Cipher $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) eXomorph Games
Gravity $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) VortexStudio
Rapid Puppet $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Warp Zone Experiments

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.