Do I ship it?

GamesAction RPGAction RPG + 4 Player Local

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 4 Player Local Action RPG?

Action RPG + 4 Player Local

Only 18 developers shipped a 4 Player Local Action RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Tales of Graces f Remastered, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.5k, ×3.0 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.4k; 1 in 20 cleared $920k, ×619 the market median. Revenue is up 2405% on the market; 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 2405% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action RPG + 4 Player Local
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.5k → $1.9k → $3.6k → $4.5k → $58k → $341k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action RPG + 4 Player Local: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,398)
Median $4.5k (exactly $4,496)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $61,932)
Top 5% $927k (exactly $927,368)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 65
Announced 21
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2405% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action RPG
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
4 Player Local
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Action RPG, 4 Player Local; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Co-op, Local Multiplayer
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 77% positive over 3,163 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $4.5k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $920k.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + NavalFair17 devs · median $15k · 11 announced
  2. + Local Co-OpFair68 devs · median $6.0k · 82 announced
  3. + WesternFair13 devs · median $5.5k · 15 announced
  4. + Local MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $5.5k · 56 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorLong shot35 devs · median $450 · 33 announced
  6. + WuxiaPoor odds7 devs · median $198k · 28 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds14 devs · median $105k · 55 announced
  8. + MechsPoor odds21 devs · median $59k · 43 announced
  9. + Colony SimPoor odds11 devs · median $58k · 35 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds31 devs · median $44k · 47 announced
  11. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds23 devs · median $26k · 69 announced
  12. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds77 devs · median $25k · 91 announced

All 211 pairs on the Action RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Barony older $19.99 12,714 90% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,624,586) Turning Wheel LLC
Magicka older $9.99 19,174 84% 575k $5.7M (exactly $5,746,448) Arrowhead Game Studios
Lost Castle / 失落城堡 older $9.99 18,417 87% 553k $5.5M (exactly $5,519,575) Hunter Studio
Gauntlet™ Slayer Edition older $19.99 6,690 81% 201k $4.0M (exactly $4,011,993) Arrowhead Game Studios
Chronicon older $13.99 8,822 94% 265k $3.7M (exactly $3,702,593) Subworld
Nine Parchments older $19.99 4,123 77% 124k $2.5M (exactly $2,472,563) Frozenbyte
Full Metal Furies older $19.99 2,108 91% 63k $1.3M (exactly $1,264,168) Cellar Door Games
Guacamelee! Super Turbo Championship Edition older $14.99 2,633 93% 79k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,060) Drinkbox Studios
Tales of Graces f Remastered $39.99 773 87% 23k $927k (exactly $927,368) TOSE CO., LTD.
Dungeons of Sundaria older $9.99 3,061 74% 92k $917k (exactly $917,382) Industry Games
HexBreaker Ⅱ $19.99 1,049 64% 31k $629k (exactly $629,085) 灵煦工作室
Scott Pilgrim EX $28.99 471 85% 14k $410k (exactly $409,629) Tribute Games Inc.
DuneCrawl $19.99 568 74% 17k $341k (exactly $340,630) Alientrap
Ys vs. Trails in the Sky: Alternative Saga $34.99 59 94% 1.8k $62k (exactly $61,932) Nihon Falcom
Nicktoons & The Dice of Destiny $49.99 39 92% 1.2k $58k (exactly $58,488) Petit Fabrik, Fair Play Labs
Wendigo Blue · EA $9.99 146 90% 4.4k $44k (exactly $43,756) EndlessFluff
Otherlights · EA $19.99 15 100% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Soleil Artificiel
Brigands $9.99 15 73% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Simon Rinfret, Azooloom
Carrot Survivors $4.99 28 100% 840 $4.2k (exactly $4,192) Carrot Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.