Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Turn-Based Tactics

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Tactics 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Turn-Based Tactics

Of 35 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Tactics 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390 in the last 2 years and $390 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 17 developers shipped in the last year and 39 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 95% on the market, 39 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Turn-Based Tactics
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $891 → $59 → $239 → $119 → $599 → $208 (still earning) → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Turn-Based Tactics: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $390 (exactly $390)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $46k (exactly $46,177)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 93
Announced 39
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 95% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Tactics
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Turn-Based Tactics; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, Strategy, Adventure
Price point
$5.00 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.00.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 637 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $390, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $46k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. Nearly all of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
富豪派对重制版 · EA older $6.99 728 85% 22k $153k (exactly $152,662) Tianmu Games
Gomoku Let's Go older $2.99 883 88% 26k $79k (exactly $79,205) Studio Amateur
PROGRESS ORDERS $19.99 77 36% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) HAKAMA Inc.
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
江湖百异图 older $13.99 61 55% 1.8k $26k (exactly $25,602) 恒睿游戏
Brain Break older $4.99 164 75% 4.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Astralis Games
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game
The Ghost Treasure $1.99 88 93% 2.6k $5.3k (exactly $5,254) 谭浩翔
Hero Guider $1.99 87 98% 2.6k $5.2k (exactly $5,194) BestQ
Integrity $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) DawnDuck
Korean War $1.99 12 66% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 丁近恒

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.