Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Turn-Based Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Strategy 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Turn-Based Strategy

Of 36 developers who shipped a Turn-Based Strategy 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $330 in the last 2 years and $390 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 19 developers shipped in the last year and 42 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 240% on the market, 42 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Turn-Based Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $51k → $891 → $1.3k → $239 → $180 → $716 → $450 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Turn-Based Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $330 (exactly $330)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $21k (exactly $20,767)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 101
Announced 42
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 240% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Turn-Based Strategy; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 360 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $330, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $20k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. Nearly all of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Just Go 2022 · $967k The Forgotten Concluder 2023 · $670k Gomoku Let's Go 2021 · $79k Sword and Fairy 5 prequel 2021 · $58k Richman 8 2023 · $51k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
Gomoku Let's Go older $2.99 883 88% 26k $79k (exactly $79,205) Studio Amateur
Sword and Fairy 5 prequel older $12.99 150 86% 4.5k $58k (exactly $58,455) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)
Richman 8 older $7.99 214 64% 6.4k $51k (exactly $51,296) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)CO.LTD
OTTTD older $7.99 190 78% 5.7k $46k (exactly $45,543) SMG Studio
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Sword and Fairy 5 older $12.99 73 60% 2.2k $28k (exactly $28,448) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)
江湖百异图 older $13.99 61 55% 1.8k $26k (exactly $25,602) 恒睿游戏
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
古咒迷途 (lost curse) $3.99 68 95% 2.0k $8.1k (exactly $8,140) 拙画翁
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game
EagleRoad:WorldRise $9.99 22 90% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) XuJie
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Legend of the Wargod · EA $22.99 5 100% 150 $3.4k (exactly $3,448) Revelen
高球王者 GolfKings $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 小如文化
Command thousands troops $3.99 10 100% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Fate Fire Game
Integrity $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) DawnDuck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.