Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Turn-Based Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Turn-Based Combat 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Turn-Based Combat

Only 18 developers shipped a Turn-Based Combat 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $78k, ×125 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 31 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Turn-Based Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $55k → $153k → $59 → $179 → $8.1k → $450 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Turn-Based Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $716 (exactly $716)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,140)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,796)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 64
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Turn-Based Combat
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Turn-Based Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry JRPG, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $54.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $54.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 346 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $8.1k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

No Straight Roads: Encore Edition 2021 · $1.4M The Forgotten Concluder 2023 · $670k Märchen Forest 2021 · $401k 下一站江湖Ⅰ 2021 · $348k Thirsty Suitors 2023 · $210k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
The Forgotten Concluder older $24.99 894 74% 27k $670k (exactly $670,232) Kunpo Games
Märchen Forest older $34.99 382 79% 11k $401k (exactly $400,985) PrimaryOrbit
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
Thirsty Suitors older $29.99 233 96% 7.0k $210k (exactly $209,630) Outerloop Games
富豪派对重制版 · EA older $6.99 728 85% 22k $153k (exactly $152,662) Tianmu Games
Sword and Fairy 3 Ex older $7.99 524 82% 16k $126k (exactly $125,603) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
Sword and Fairy 4 older $12.99 245 77% 7.4k $95k (exactly $95,476) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
Sword and Fairy 5 prequel older $12.99 150 86% 4.5k $58k (exactly $58,455) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(BEIJING)
Dosa Divas $19.99 56 94% 1.7k $34k (exactly $33,583) Outerloop Games
KAMiBAKO - Mythology of Cube - $29.99 37 64% 1.1k $33k (exactly $33,289) GRAVITY GAME ARISE
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
古咒迷途 (lost curse) $3.99 68 95% 2.0k $8.1k (exactly $8,140) 拙画翁
Legend of the Wargod · EA $22.99 5 100% 150 $3.4k (exactly $3,448) Revelen
The Curse of Mount Madre $9.99 3 66% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Kevin Musto
Integrity $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) DawnDuck
Korean War $1.99 12 66% 360 $716 (exactly $716) 丁近恒
eggboy · EA $18.99 1 0% 30 $570 (exactly $570) sadboy

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.