Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Trivia

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Trivia 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Trivia

Only 10 developers shipped a Trivia 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Not Sure About That, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 4 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 5 developers shipped in the last year and 4 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 32205% on the market, 4 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Trivia
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $479 → $2.9k
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Trivia: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $2.9k (exactly $2,934)
Top 5% $11k (exactly $11,377)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 30
Announced 4
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Trivia
effort 1 / 10 · high · question bank and scoring

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Trivia
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 79% positive over 185 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $180, 1 in 4 over $2.9k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 4 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ichima-san older $10.99 61 100% 1.8k $20k (exactly $20,112) sewohayami
Not Sure About That $4.99 76 98% 2.3k $11k (exactly $11,377) Scratch
Idiom Royale $1.99 91 63% 2.7k $5.4k (exactly $5,433) NyxWorks
Logic - Keypad older $4.99 29 89% 870 $4.3k (exactly $4,341) NguyeZ
One Hundred Ways older $7.99 18 44% 540 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Sunlight Games
MOTTAINAI GHOST $8.15 12 75% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,934) woof Inc., sewohayami
ZiDouQianWen older $15.99 5 40% 150 $2.4k (exactly $2,398) WANG XUEYUAN
Two Hundred Ways older $14.99 4 75% 120 $1.8k (exactly $1,799) Sunlight Games
A Matter of Principle older $3.99 11 81% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) DillyFrame
Answer To Survive older $3.99 4 75% 120 $479 (exactly $479) 4entertainment
Color Block Escape $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) FWGames
Mumu: 3D Desktop Mummy $5.99 1 100% 30 $180 (exactly $180) Mumu
Defying Fate: 60 Days to the Exam $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Touchas99
Do Goats Dream of Golden Grass? $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) teamAlpha
Corner BookShop · EA $7.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Areumdamda Media Lab
Master of Stealth $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Star Street Wanderer
BallQuizzle · EA $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Joseph Dolmaya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.