Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Top-Down Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Top-Down Shooter 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Top-Down Shooter

Of 36 developers who shipped a Top-Down Shooter 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 27 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $89 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 18 developers shipped in the last year and 27 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 27 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Top-Down Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 36
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $360 → $89 → $479 → $150 → $0 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Top-Down Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 36
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $89 (exactly $89)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $23k (exactly $22,904)
Developers, 2 yr 36
Released games 85
Announced 27
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Top-Down Shooter
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Top-Down Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
Price point
$4.00 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Top-Down
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $4.00.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 710 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $89, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $22k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 27 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The AC130 slays the zombies. $3.99 377 63% 11k $45k (exactly $45,127) 汪双羽
Trifox older $19.99 63 82% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Glowfish Interactive
FALL $4.99 153 88% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) 谭浩翔
CosmicGalaxyWars $19.99 34 76% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) YOSHITSUNA INC.
Eliosi's Hunt older $9.99 64 68% 1.9k $19k (exactly $19,181) TDZ Games, Gamecraft Studios
Ruvato: Original Complex older $14.99 38 81% 1.1k $17k (exactly $17,089) REMIMORY
Holy Shot $5.99 53 84% 1.6k $9.5k (exactly $9,524) LoneWolf Digital Arts
Diddy $7.99 24 62% 720 $5.8k (exactly $5,753) GalaxyVerse
Angry Putin older $0.99 140 91% 4.2k $4.2k (exactly $4,158) Seito Games
SakuraSegment 0.3 - Prologue older $9.99 11 90% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Ulimworks
Dark Erosion: Endless Siege $6.99 15 80% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) LaoLiang
Doctor Pigeon Simulator $4.00 26 84% 780 $3.1k (exactly $3,120) Peperoni Games
Cape Warrior $2.99 11 81% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Saylor Games
Final Hunter $4.99 6 50% 180 $898 (exactly $898) Game Matrix
Kapuritto-kyu Minigame Collection $1.99 11 90% 330 $657 (exactly $657) SOULCHAN

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.