Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Time Travel

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time-Travel 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Time Travel

Only 17 developers shipped a Time-Travel 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 31 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper, while revenue is up 2910% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 2910% on the market, 31 announced, ×3.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Time Travel
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $839 → $359 → $0 → $2.5k → $358 (still earning) → $539 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Time Travel: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $358 (exactly $358)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,516)
Top 5% $223k (exactly $223,455)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 48
Announced 31
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2910% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Travel
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Action-Adventure
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 562 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $220k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 31 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sonic Generations Collection older $51.79 20,304 93% 609k $32M (exactly $31,546,325) Devil's Details
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time older $9.99 5,045 85% 151k $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) Kudosoft
Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ older $9.99 2,683 80% 80k $804k (exactly $804,095) Ubisoft Montreal
Wanderer: The Fragments of Fate $49.99 149 62% 4.5k $223k (exactly $223,455) Mighty Eyes
Hourglass older $19.99 331 88% 9.9k $199k (exactly $198,501) Cyberwave
Gawr Gura: Quest for Bread $7.99 298 97% 8.9k $71k (exactly $71,431) Kenny Park
Origament: A Paper Adventure $9.99 76 90% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Space Sauce Studio
Aethernaut older $16.99 40 57% 1.2k $20k (exactly $20,388) Dragon Slumber
Tyler: Model 005 older $9.99 51 56% 1.5k $15k (exactly $15,285) Reversed Interactive
Pocket Watch older $2.99 101 95% 3.0k $9.1k (exactly $9,060) Sokpop Collective
Beta MAX $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Nexcide
Unfair Rampage: Knightfall $5.99 14 85% 420 $2.5k (exactly $2,516) Imphenzia
Time Flipper $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Lusho
Nia: Jewel Hunter $6.99 3 66% 90 $629 (exactly $629) ByPuziki Games
乾坤玺•明 $8.99 2 0% 60 $539 (exactly $539) 玉刃工作室
Nobu Jump $1.99 6 100% 180 $358 (exactly $358) であるりん
POGO Epoch: Impossible 99% · EA $5.99 1 0% 30 $180 (exactly $180) 힉학헉

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.