Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Time Management

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Management 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Time Management

Of 54 developers who shipped a Time Management 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $210 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 35 developers shipped in the last year and 38 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 25% on the market, 38 announced, ×1.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Time Management
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $2.1k → $718 → $1.4k → $210 → $179 → $90 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Time Management: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,551)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 128
Announced 38
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 25% on the market, supply 85% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Time Management; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Life Sim, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 496 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
A guard walks into a tavern older $7.99 415 83% 12k $99k (exactly $99,476) SuQing
Love Mansion $10.99 184 88% 5.5k $61k (exactly $60,665) Tsunmayo
Stop Dead · EA older $14.99 79 94% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,526) Gridsnap Games LLC
Laundry & Supermarket Simulator $9.99 86 77% 2.6k $26k (exactly $25,774) SmartPlayGames
江湖百异图 older $13.99 61 55% 1.8k $26k (exactly $25,602) 恒睿游戏
Fun Park Simulator · EA $12.99 63 58% 1.9k $25k (exactly $24,551) Flugames
Japanese Rail Sim: Operating the MEITETSU Line older $8.99 63 61% 1.9k $17k (exactly $16,991) Sonic Powered Co.,Ltd.
Codename: Terranova $23.99 23 69% 690 $17k (exactly $16,553) ACGames
Taxi Chaos older $24.99 22 50% 660 $16k (exactly $16,493) Team6 Game Studios
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME
Farm Supply Simulator 25 · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Superwolf Game Studio, Lycan Arts
Mighty Marbles $11.99 24 91% 720 $8.6k (exactly $8,633) James Oliver
Sandloop $12.99 20 90% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Yoku Games
Pizza Man Simulator $9.99 20 50% 600 $6.0k (exactly $5,994) Mamma Mia Studio
Hell Runner $14.99 10 100% 300 $4.5k (exactly $4,497) Moonlight Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.