Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Time Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Time Attack 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Time Attack

Of 25 developers who shipped a Time Attack 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $630, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $67k, ×107 the market median. Revenue is up 620% on the market; 35 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 620% on the market, 35 announced, ×2.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Time Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $31k → $150 → $449 → $4.0k → $13k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Time Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $628 (exactly $628)
Top 25% $4.0k (exactly $4,047)
Top 5% $67k (exactly $67,455)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 80
Announced 35
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 620% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Time Attack; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Arcade
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Fast-Paced, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,284 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $630, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $67k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 35 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ older $19.99 31,195 87% 936k $19M (exactly $18,707,642) DICE
Hot Lava older $19.99 5,335 92% 160k $3.2M (exactly $3,199,399) Klei Entertainment
Cyber Hook older $14.99 3,102 95% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,394,969) Blazing Stick
Penny’s Big Breakaway older $29.99 1,062 79% 32k $955k (exactly $955,481) Evening Star
Marble It Up! Ultra older $29.99 1,060 93% 32k $954k (exactly $953,682) Blueteak, The Engine Company, Shapes an… (Blueteak, The Engine Company, Shapes and Lines, Arcturus Interactive, The Quantum Astrophysicists Guild)
Yellow Taxi Goes Vroom older $16.99 1,621 97% 49k $826k (exactly $826,224) Panik Arcade
Super Meat Boy 3D $24.99 828 87% 25k $621k (exactly $620,752) Sluggerfly, Team Meat
EDGE older $6.99 1,826 92% 55k $383k (exactly $382,912) Two Tribes
Lovely Planet older $5.99 1,384 92% 42k $249k (exactly $248,705) quicktequila
Marble Skies older $9.99 253 82% 7.6k $76k (exactly $75,824) [untitledDev]
Hoverflow $14.99 150 93% 4.5k $67k (exactly $67,455) Simon In Motion
Ballest of Them All · EA $5.99 110 97% 3.3k $20k (exactly $19,767) Low5ive, Action Jackson
FZ: Formation Z $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Granzella Inc.
Caromble! $12.99 34 73% 1.0k $13k (exactly $13,250) Crimson Owl Studios
Ticking Together $4.99 37 97% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) Furkan Baytak, Furkan Özkaya
Marble Champions $14.99 9 66% 270 $4.0k (exactly $4,047) Luc Versleijen, Neonchimp Games
The Confinement $9.99 10 100% 300 $3.0k (exactly $2,997) Mr. Dev Studio
Tiny $0.99 78 83% 2.3k $2.3k (exactly $2,317) Just Indie
Marble Quest · EA $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Wolf Developer, ReelablePenny14

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.