Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Thriller

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Thriller 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Thriller

Of 77 developers who shipped a Thriller 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 84 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.0k, ×1.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $32k, ×52 the market median. Revenue is down 40% on the market; 84 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 40% on the market, 84 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Thriller
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 77
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.3k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $3.2k → $1.8k → $1.4k → $628 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Thriller: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 77
Bottom 30% $300 (exactly $300)
Median $1.0k (exactly $1,048)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,389)
Top 5% $33k (exactly $32,737)
Developers, 2 yr 77
Released games 167
Announced 84
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 40% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Thriller
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,094 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.0k, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $32k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 52 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE 2026 · $4.0M THE 4 SINS 2024 · $1.0M Lifeless Planet Premier Edition 2014 · $758k Haydee 3 2025 · $289k Find Yourself 2021 · $255k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Lifeless Planet Premier Edition older $9.99 2,529 78% 76k $758k (exactly $757,941) Serenity Forge
Haydee 3 $29.99 321 84% 9.6k $289k (exactly $288,804) Haydee Interactive
Find Yourself older $6.99 1,215 84% 36k $255k (exactly $254,786) EMIKA_GAMES
Father's Day older $6.99 1,034 86% 31k $217k (exactly $216,830) EMIKA_GAMES
除邪(CHUXIE) older $6.99 917 79% 28k $192k (exactly $192,295) LCGaming
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Pieces of me $8.99 594 87% 18k $160k (exactly $160,202) EMIKA_GAMES
I'm counting to 6... older $6.99 732 83% 22k $154k (exactly $153,500) EMIKA_GAMES
No Vacation for an Executioner $13.99 78 70% 2.3k $33k (exactly $32,737) JayO
OYASUMII $6.99 98 83% 2.9k $21k (exactly $20,551) NEO PROJECT Studios
Lonely Christmas $4.99 107 66% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,018) ASK GAMES
The Sushi House $4.99 102 81% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,269) Noirbit
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
TOLD GOD - The legacy of cthulhu $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Obsession studio
DEBUG DEADLINE $4.99 64 92% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) OTL GAME

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.