Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Tactical RPG

Of 22 developers who shipped a Tactical RPG 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $390 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 8 developers shipped in the last year and 42 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 530% on the market, 42 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $120 → $9.6k → $60 → $390 → $7.2k → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $390 (exactly $390)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 5% $79k (exactly $78,796)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 88
Announced 42
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 530% on the market, supply 45% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 33%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Tactical RPG; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry RPG, JRPG, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 399 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $390, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $78k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 22 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
下一站江湖Ⅰ older $19.99 581 72% 17k $348k (exactly $348,426) 白玉京工作室
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
The Remake of the End of the Greatest RPG of All Time $17.99 146 86% 4.4k $79k (exactly $78,796) Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobe… (Coin Drop Games, Lucas Immanuel, jucobee, Kyle Chuang)
PROGRESS ORDERS $19.99 77 36% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) HAKAMA Inc.
江湖百异图 older $13.99 61 55% 1.8k $26k (exactly $25,602) 恒睿游戏
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
仙途世界 older $29.99 16 87% 480 $14k (exactly $14,395) Deep Cave
Magicians And Monsters older $5.99 68 64% 2.0k $12k (exactly $12,220) 呜噜噜游戏
Desert Special Forces older $19.99 20 65% 600 $12k (exactly $11,994) Gamesforgames
Savage: Ultimate Boss Fight older $4.99 64 98% 1.9k $9.6k (exactly $9,581) SavageDev
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Traveler Of Light · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) ZENG CHEN
Master Knight $3.99 11 72% 330 $1.3k (exactly $1,317) DIG Games
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
Integrity $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) DawnDuck
Soul•Last Bastion $6.99 3 0% 90 $629 (exactly $629) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
夜中作戦 $4.99 4 50% 120 $599 (exactly $599) 盛り塩森

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.