Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Supernatural

Of 51 developers who shipped a Supernatural 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 71 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 71 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 71 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $2.9k → $359 → $629 → $449 → $358 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $3.4k (exactly $3,448)
Top 5% $152k (exactly $151,646)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 123
Announced 71
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $16.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $16.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 6,762 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $360, 1 in 4 over $3.4k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 71 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Alice: Madness Returns older $9.99 27,795 90% 834k $8.3M (exactly $8,330,162) Spicy Horse Games
FATAL FRAME II: Crimson Butterfly REMAKE $49.99 2,663 87% 80k $4.0M (exactly $3,993,701) KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD.
Phantom Abyss older $19.99 1,962 81% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,611) Team WIBY
近畿霊務局 - Kinki Spiritual Affairs Bureau $9.99 2,780 92% 83k $833k (exactly $833,166) Noto Muteki
El Shaddai ASCENSION OF THE METATRON HD Remaster older $29.99 457 83% 14k $411k (exactly $411,163) crim Co., Ltd.
Metamorphosis older $24.99 467 83% 14k $350k (exactly $350,110) Ovid Works
除邪(CHUXIE) older $6.99 917 79% 28k $192k (exactly $192,295) LCGaming
Ereban: Shadow Legacy older $19.99 271 85% 8.1k $163k (exactly $162,519) Baby Robot Games
Climb The Backrooms $4.99 1,013 81% 30k $152k (exactly $151,646) LovDEV
Dread X Collection 3 older $9.99 352 92% 11k $105k (exactly $105,494) DreadXP, Torple Dook, Adam Pype & V… (DreadXP, Torple Dook, Adam Pype & Viktor Kraus, KIRA, corpsepile, Breogan Hackett, Redact Games, Modus Interactive, Basalt Tower, Blood Machine, Bryce Bucher, DIRIGO GAMES, Moya Horror, Wayward Preacher, Amon26)
NOROI KAGO: the Grudged Domain $9.99 105 79% 3.2k $31k (exactly $31,468) Toydium
Hope Deferred $19.99 31 100% 930 $19k (exactly $18,591) Tell All
Platform $9.99 46 73% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) METAGAR
除邪2(CHUXIE2) $6.99 44 40% 1.3k $9.2k (exactly $9,227) LCGaming
Particle Hearts $14.99 20 90% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) Underwater Fire
Forecursed · EA $9.99 26 92% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) William Van Herck
HONG KONG HAUNTING: FISHBALL GIRL $6.99 34 64% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Dokimoment Studio, Genuine Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.