Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Superhero

Only 12 developers shipped a Superhero 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×12234 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 25 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $898 → $9.4k → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $34,466)
Top 5% $18M (exactly $18,326,182)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 33
Announced 25
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
3D Platformer
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 8,985 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
LEGO® Batman™: Legacy of the Dark Knight $69.99 8,728 95% 262k $18M (exactly $18,326,182) TT Games
Taiwan Coolfox $24.99 57 78% 1.7k $43k (exactly $42,733) TSAI,JIE-TING 蔡杰廷, TSAI,KAI-SHIUN 蔡凱勛
BrebeMan $9.99 115 100% 3.5k $34k (exactly $34,466) MetaFormingPro
Magical Nut Ikuno $14.99 42 83% 1.3k $19k (exactly $18,887) qureate, Orgesta Inc.
SATORI older $7.99 43 76% 1.3k $10k (exactly $10,307) EMOTION THEORY
Rabbiman Adventures $14.99 21 100% 630 $9.4k (exactly $9,444) ISRACHEM LTD
Spider Fox older $7.99 32 96% 960 $7.7k (exactly $7,670) Planet 47 Games
Lovely Fox · EA older $0.99 62 70% 1.9k $1.8k (exactly $1,841) Potato Chips
Liberty Belle older $2.99 20 90% 600 $1.8k (exactly $1,794) Studio SyndiCat, Ink Rose Inc
SantaCorps 4 $4.99 9 88% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) Virtuoso Neomedia
Raanaa - The Shaman Girl $12.99 3 100% 90 $1.2k (exactly $1,169) Miksapix Interactive, Red Stage Enterta… (Miksapix Interactive, Red Stage Entertainment)
Hop Drop $5.99 5 60% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Goon Squad
Sherlock Holmes – The Hunt for Moriarty $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Joindots Interactive GmbH
Skyline Savior $2.99 4 75% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Beyond Horizon Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.