Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Strategy RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy RPG 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Strategy RPG

Of 34 developers who shipped a Strategy RPG 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 44 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $210 in the last 2 years and $250 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 14 developers shipped in the last year and 44 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 345% on the market, 44 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Strategy RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 34
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $359 → $356 → $89 → $180 → $210 → $372 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Strategy RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 34
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $210 (exactly $210)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $52k (exactly $52,220)
Developers, 2 yr 34
Released games 113
Announced 44
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 345% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Strategy RPG; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 71% positive over 615 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $210, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $52k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. Nearly all of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 44 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Cultivation Magic World 2026 · EA · $108k A guard walks into a tavern 2023 · $99k Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Cloud of Han 2023 · $55k XiuzhenWorld2 2024 · $52k OTTTD 2014 · $46k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cultivation Magic World · EA $12.99 276 78% 8.3k $108k (exactly $107,557) DMG Studio
A guard walks into a tavern older $7.99 415 83% 12k $99k (exactly $99,476) SuQing
Xuan-Yuan Sword: The Cloud of Han older $9.99 182 73% 5.5k $55k (exactly $54,545) DOMO Studio, SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
OTTTD older $7.99 190 78% 5.7k $46k (exactly $45,543) SMG Studio
The Age of Navigation older $5.99 164 57% 4.9k $29k (exactly $29,471) Upstream Games
江湖百异图 older $13.99 61 55% 1.8k $26k (exactly $25,602) 恒睿游戏
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
Fight till the End! older $19.99 15 66% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Gamesforgames
Three Kingdoms: Shu-Han Chronicles $12.99 20 45% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) QianFan Game
Soul•Apocalypto $11.99 20 80% 600 $7.2k (exactly $7,194) 卜乙冈(Ploygon)
Schoolgirl Card Pull Simulator $6.99 34 61% 1.0k $7.1k (exactly $7,130) Violet Soft
Isekai Mage Girl Gacha Pull Simulator: Elemental Card Collection $6.99 27 74% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) Violet Soft
Forest Factory Simulator $3.99 17 41% 510 $2.0k (exactly $2,035) Samle Indie Studio
Pretty Agent 2 $4.99 7 28% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) MC GAME
Integrity $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) DawnDuck

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.