Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Strategy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a 3D Platformer Strategy game?

3D Platformer + Strategy

Of 287 developers who shipped a 3D Platformer Strategy game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 332 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 148 developers shipped in the last year and 332 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 332 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 287
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $479 → $297 → $210 → $179 → $179 → $150 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 287
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $748 (exactly $748)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,467)
Developers, 2 yr 287
Released games 975
Announced 332
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Strategy; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Simulation, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 6,722 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $740, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 214 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 332 games are announced against 148 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hello Neighbor older $29.99 26,329 87% 790k $24M (exactly $23,688,201) Dynamic Pixels
Cultivation Tales older $19.99 12,560 38% 377k $7.5M (exactly $7,532,232) Ac Games
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
THE 4 SINS older $9.99 3,377 23% 101k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,087) 奇门互娱
Monument Valley 3 $14.99 2,155 93% 65k $969k (exactly $969,104) ustwo games
Just Go older $9.99 3,227 92% 97k $967k (exactly $967,132) Studio Amateur
Disney•Pixar Toy Story 3: The Video Game older $19.99 1,532 70% 46k $919k (exactly $918,740) Avalanche Software
Finding Frankie $14.99 1,886 90% 57k $848k (exactly $848,134) SUPERLOU
Stripjong - Super Real Mahjong Venus Returns $29.99 740 80% 22k $666k (exactly $665,778) ILLUMINATION
Quantum Conundrum older $8.99 1,758 84% 53k $474k (exactly $474,133) Airtight Games
Drifter Star: Evolution $3.99 1,165 73% 35k $139k (exactly $139,450) Kayla Studio
BURGGEIST $12.00 260 97% 7.8k $94k (exactly $93,600) GHRIAN STUDIO
NAMAKORIUM (ナマコリウム) $11.99 148 93% 4.4k $53k (exactly $53,236) Polyscape Inc.
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Foodslingers $9.99 83 96% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Ardent Games
Fritz Chess 20 Steam Edition $54.99 15 46% 450 $25k (exactly $24,746) ChessBase GmbH
Frog Jump $4.99 158 86% 4.7k $24k (exactly $23,653) SlugShot Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.