Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Steampunk

Only 10 developers shipped a Steampunk 3D Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Kristala, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×927 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 140% on the market, 30 announced, ×5.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,679)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 5% $582k (exactly $581,854)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 40
Announced 30
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $14.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer
Price point
$14.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 73% positive over 542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Contrast older $9.99 4,548 90% 136k $1.4M (exactly $1,363,036) Compulsion Games
Kristala $39.99 485 71% 15k $582k (exactly $581,854) Astral Clocktower Studios
Woolfe - The Red Hood Diaries older $9.99 987 59% 30k $296k (exactly $295,804) GRIN
Hazel Sky older $24.99 242 68% 7.3k $181k (exactly $181,427) Coffee Addict Studio
The Tale of Onogoro older $34.99 48 79% 1.4k $50k (exactly $50,386) AMATA Games
DROS older $9.99 77 94% 2.3k $23k (exactly $23,077) emergeWorlds
Aethernaut older $16.99 40 57% 1.2k $20k (exactly $20,388) Dragon Slumber
CyberWaifu older $3.99 132 48% 4.0k $16k (exactly $15,800) CyberDesktop
The Watchmaker older $9.99 45 51% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Micropsia Games SpA
Power Sink $14.99 26 96% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Winterwire Games
The Wilds of Dacrima: Field Notes from a Poorly Supervised Alchemist and his Unruly Clockwork Companion $19.99 13 100% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Antler Studios
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab
Mental Hellacious $13.99 4 50% 120 $1.7k (exactly $1,679) MoreNEWttoStudio
GYROPIA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Farkas Interactive
Hopward $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) GoodGhostGames
Chronos Shift $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Pigeon Entertainment
ParkTour $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Federico Garcia
Escape from Chancellor's Chambers $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Diogras Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.