Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Space

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Space

Of 103 developers who shipped a Space 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 136 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $240 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 52 developers shipped in the last year and 136 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 136 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Space
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 103
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $179 → $748 → $238 → $359 → $150 → $360 → $239 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Space: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 103
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.8k (exactly $1,800)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,280)
Developers, 2 yr 103
Released games 336
Announced 136
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Space
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,947 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.8k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. Nearly all of the 62 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 136 games are announced against 52 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart 2023 · $21M The Gunk 2022 · $3.6M Exo One 2021 · $2.6M Voidling Bound 2026 · $2.3M Solar Ash 2022 · $1.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart older $59.99 11,529 90% 346k $21M (exactly $20,748,741) Insomniac Games, Nixxes Software
The Gunk older $24.99 4,744 86% 142k $3.6M (exactly $3,556,577) Image & Form Games
Exo One older $16.99 5,053 89% 152k $2.6M (exactly $2,575,514) Exbleative
Voidling Bound $24.99 3,126 92% 94k $2.3M (exactly $2,343,562) Hatchery Games
Solar Ash older $39.99 1,354 90% 41k $1.6M (exactly $1,624,394) Heart Machine
轮回修仙路 older $16.99 2,945 82% 88k $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) 烟水寒工作室
Lifeless Planet Premier Edition older $9.99 2,529 78% 76k $758k (exactly $757,941) Serenity Forge
Hubris older $29.99 819 74% 25k $737k (exactly $736,854) Cyborn B.V.
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™ older $19.99 1,160 83% 35k $696k (exactly $695,652) Aspyr
Disney•Pixar WALL-E older $19.99 1,061 96% 32k $636k (exactly $636,282) Asobo Studio
Bubsy 4D $19.99 777 92% 23k $466k (exactly $465,967) Fabraz
Drifter Star: Evolution $3.99 1,165 73% 35k $139k (exactly $139,450) Kayla Studio
Bubsy in: The Purrfect Collection $19.99 216 84% 6.5k $130k (exactly $129,535) Limited Run Games
The Art of Reflection $17.99 151 97% 4.5k $81k (exactly $81,495) Hydrozoa
Mythical Concept STARNAUT $29.99 67 92% 2.0k $60k (exactly $60,280) crim Co., Ltd.
深空七号 Deep Space 7 $5.99 307 79% 9.2k $55k (exactly $55,168) JT Studio
Max Mustard $19.99 38 94% 1.1k $23k (exactly $22,789) Toast Interactive
Keplerian Space Discovery · EA $24.99 25 88% 750 $19k (exactly $18,742) Kugelblitz
FMTC $7.00 75 78% 2.3k $16k (exactly $15,750) FMTC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.