Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Runner

Of 227 developers who shipped a Runner 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 246 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $270 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 111 developers shipped in the last year and 246 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 246 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 227
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $719 → $179 → $356 → $418 → $299 → $120 (still earning) → $120 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 227
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $269 (exactly $269)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $12,142)
Developers, 2 yr 227
Released games 728
Announced 246
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Runner; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Platformer, Action, Parkour
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 17,643 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $270, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $12k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 155 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 246 games are announced against 111 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst 2020 · $8.4M Haste 2025 · $7.6M Phantom Abyss 2024 · $1.2M SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell 2016 · $922k ALTF4 2021 · $848k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Mirror's Edge™ Catalyst older $19.99 14,078 79% 422k $8.4M (exactly $8,442,577) DICE
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
Phantom Abyss older $19.99 1,962 81% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,611) Team WIBY
SEUM: Speedrunners from Hell older $14.99 2,050 95% 62k $922k (exactly $921,885) Pine Studio
ALTF4 older $2.99 9,452 80% 284k $848k (exactly $847,844) PUMPKIM
Climber Animals: Together older $3.99 6,014 73% 180k $720k (exactly $719,876) Devotion Interactive
VHOLUME $8.00 2,992 97% 90k $718k (exactly $718,080) Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels… (Nathan Grange, Léonard Lemaitre, Niels Tiercelin)
Bloodthief $19.99 1,017 95% 31k $610k (exactly $609,895) Blargis
DeadCore older $9.99 1,584 85% 48k $475k (exactly $474,725) 5 Bits Games
TASOMACHI: Behind the Twilight older $19.99 529 75% 16k $317k (exactly $317,241) Orbital Express
Rocket Boots Mania $14.99 229 99% 6.9k $103k (exactly $102,981) Luma Play
Ikarus Parkour $12.99 195 81% 5.9k $76k (exactly $75,992) Vanja Aleksić
Hell of an Office $14.99 121 89% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) 43 Studios
JETRUNNER $9.99 118 96% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Riddlebit Software
Catch Me $5.99 178 70% 5.3k $32k (exactly $31,987) Doorway Games
Care Bears: To The Rescue $14.99 54 98% 1.6k $24k (exactly $24,284) Polygoat
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.