Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Romance

Of 27 developers who shipped a Romance 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.9k, ×6.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×1700 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 27
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $450 → $8.4k → $1.2k → $9.0k → $4.3k → $61k → $3.1k (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 27
Bottom 30% $659 (exactly $659)
Median $3.9k (exactly $3,892)
Top 25% $110k (exactly $110,345)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786)
Developers, 2 yr 27
Released games 113
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Dating Sim, Action
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $54.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $54.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 14,746 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $3.9k, 1 in 4 over $110k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 5 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS 2024 · $18M HoneySelect2Libido DX 2022 · $2.7M Prince of Persia® 2008 · $1.1M SHUTEN ORDER 2025 · $1.1M Stardom 3 2022 · $624k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SONIC X SHADOW GENERATIONS $49.99 12,178 96% 365k $18M (exactly $18,263,347) Sonic Team
HoneySelect2Libido DX older $69.99 1,283 82% 38k $2.7M (exactly $2,693,915) ILLUSION
Prince of Persia® older $9.99 3,717 78% 112k $1.1M (exactly $1,113,985) Ubisoft Montreal
SHUTEN ORDER $49.99 712 80% 21k $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786) Neilo Inc.
Stardom 3 older $12.99 1,600 94% 48k $624k (exactly $623,520) SOFTSTAR ENTERTAINMENT
Sword and Fairy 3 older $7.99 1,936 84% 58k $464k (exactly $464,059) SOFTSTAR TECHNOLOGY(SHANGHAI)
VR-Kanojo $54.99 176 63% 5.3k $290k (exactly $290,347) ILLUMINATION
VARLET $59.99 121 47% 3.6k $218k (exactly $217,764) FURYU CORPORATION
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Hazel Sky older $24.99 242 68% 7.3k $181k (exactly $181,427) Coffee Addict Studio
Flee, My Elven Ninja! 3D $14.99 347 85% 10k $156k (exactly $156,046) Barance Studio
Wolf Mate $6.99 613 93% 18k $129k (exactly $128,546) eTIRUe
Sex Trainer's Diary: Hidden Kink $19.99 184 70% 5.5k $110k (exactly $110,345) 老二打鐵舖, 072 Localize, NOVA CONCEPT
WorldNeverland - Daily Life in the Elnea Kingdom - Another Life Adventure $29.99 92 78% 2.8k $83k (exactly $82,772) althi Inc.
Love Mansion $10.99 184 88% 5.5k $61k (exactly $60,665) Tsunmayo
Fate and Life: The Mystery of Vaulinhorn $13.99 139 64% 4.2k $58k (exactly $58,338) Celestial Novel

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.