Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Roguelite

Of 65 developers who shipped a Roguelite 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 99 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $240 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 40 developers shipped in the last year and 99 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 99 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 65
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.1k → $1.2k → $2.6k → $898 → $239 → $748 → $210 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 65
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $239 (exactly $239)
Top 25% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 5% $27k (exactly $26,970)
Developers, 2 yr 65
Released games 147
Announced 99
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Roguelite; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Roguelike
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 92% positive over 13,329 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $240, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $26k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 99 games are announced against 40 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Haste 2025 · $7.6M Chinese Online Game 2024 · $2.0M Neon Echo 2023 · EA · $1.6M 轮回修仙路 2023 · $1.5M Phantom Abyss 2024 · $1.2M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
Neon Echo · EA older $14.99 3,514 56% 105k $1.6M (exactly $1,580,246) Xinyuan Studio
轮回修仙路 older $16.99 2,945 82% 88k $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) 烟水寒工作室
Phantom Abyss older $19.99 1,962 81% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,176,611) Team WIBY
Taboo Trial older $14.99 1,655 83% 50k $744k (exactly $744,254) Cat Shine, Meow Run
METAL DOGS older $19.99 766 81% 23k $459k (exactly $459,370) 24Frame,inc.
末世少女 Zombie Girl older $9.99 968 50% 29k $290k (exactly $290,110) Utopia Studio
Fallback older $9.99 299 87% 9.0k $90k (exactly $89,610) Endroad
Tower Princess older $19.99 109 65% 3.3k $65k (exactly $65,367) AweKteaM
Mythical Concept STARNAUT $29.99 67 92% 2.0k $60k (exactly $60,280) crim Co., Ltd.
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Deep Blue: Devour and Evolve $8.99 100 83% 3.0k $27k (exactly $26,970) ZHOUZEMING
Last Stand: Defense $5.99 116 81% 3.5k $21k (exactly $20,845) ZiiTech Games
DungeonCrawlers $8.99 77 68% 2.3k $21k (exactly $20,767) KusanohitoCreative
RippleIsland Kyle and Cal’s Restaurant $27.99 22 68% 660 $18k (exactly $18,473) SUNSOFT
Fracturefront $8.99 64 95% 1.9k $17k (exactly $17,261) 梦行志远
CICADA $9.99 40 92% 1.2k $12k (exactly $11,988) daimaGAME
DopePie Survivors 3D $5.99 41 92% 1.2k $7.4k (exactly $7,368) Dope Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.