Do I ship it?

Games › 3D Platformer › 3D Platformer + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Roguelike

Of 89 developers who shipped a Roguelike 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 103 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450 in the last 2 years and $480 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 55 developers shipped in the last year and 103 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 103 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 89
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.4k → $1.1k → $897 → $898 → $479 → $179 → $719 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 89
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.4k (exactly $2,427)
Top 5% $60k (exactly $60,280)
Developers, 2 yr 89
Released games 204
Announced 103
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 60% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Roguelike; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 15,654 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.4k, 1 in 20 over $60k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. 9 in 10 of the 39 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 103 games are announced against 55 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

White Knuckle 2025 · EA · $6.8M Chinese Online Game 2024 · $2.0M Neon Echo 2023 · EA · $1.6M 轮回修仙路 2023 · $1.5M ALTF4 2021 · $848k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Chinese Online Game older $9.99 6,610 82% 198k $2.0M (exactly $1,981,017) 648工作室
Neon Echo · EA older $14.99 3,514 56% 105k $1.6M (exactly $1,580,246) Xinyuan Studio
轮回修仙路 older $16.99 2,945 82% 88k $1.5M (exactly $1,501,066) 烟水寒工作室
ALTF4 older $2.99 9,452 80% 284k $848k (exactly $847,844) PUMPKIM
Taboo Trial older $14.99 1,655 83% 50k $744k (exactly $744,254) Cat Shine, Meow Run
Only Climb: Better Together older $4.99 2,939 54% 88k $440k (exactly $439,968) Exbyte Studios
HOTEL BARCELONA $29.99 269 71% 8.1k $242k (exactly $242,019) White Owls Inc.
Love Love School Days older $5.99 1,067 95% 32k $192k (exactly $191,740) OTL GAME
Drifter Star: Evolution $3.99 1,165 73% 35k $139k (exactly $139,450) Kayla Studio
Nakara $9.99 310 91% 9.3k $93k (exactly $92,907) R3dspike
Mythical Concept STARNAUT $29.99 67 92% 2.0k $60k (exactly $60,280) crim Co., Ltd.
XiuzhenWorld2 $12.99 134 67% 4.0k $52k (exactly $52,220) Noforgetit
Dice Tavern: Farkle Roguelike $9.99 112 90% 3.4k $34k (exactly $33,566) Cavi Studio
Train Plus Japan Drive Western Japan Trains! Rapid Service Edition $64.99 14 78% 420 $27k (exactly $27,296) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Deep Blue: Devour and Evolve $8.99 100 83% 3.0k $27k (exactly $26,970) ZHOUZEMING
Unnamed Pogo Game $6.99 127 85% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) Unnamed Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.