Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Robots

Of 63 developers who shipped a Robot 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 148 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $340k, ×557 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 148 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 148 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $1.1k → $538 → $716 → $299 → $7.6k → $202 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $7.8k (exactly $7,796)
Top 5% $350k (exactly $349,867)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 244
Announced 148
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,108 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $7.7k, 1 in 20 over $340k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 44 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 148 games are announced against 32 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition older $19.99 5,789 86% 174k $3.5M (exactly $3,471,663) Ninja Theory
Caravan SandWitch older $24.99 2,797 88% 84k $2.1M (exactly $2,096,911) Studio Plane Toast
Grow Home older $7.99 3,969 93% 119k $951k (exactly $951,369) Reflections, a Ubisoft Studio
MOBILE SUIT GUNDAM SEED BATTLE DESTINY REMASTERED $39.99 757 77% 23k $908k (exactly $908,173) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
ReCore: Definitive Edition older $19.99 1,441 62% 43k $864k (exactly $864,168) Armature Studio, LLC, Comcept
STAR WARS™: Bounty Hunter™ older $19.99 1,160 83% 35k $696k (exactly $695,652) Aspyr
Disney•Pixar WALL-E older $19.99 1,061 96% 32k $636k (exactly $636,282) Asobo Studio
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
Grow Up older $9.99 1,751 92% 53k $525k (exactly $524,775) Reflections, a Ubisoft Studio
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Europa $14.99 778 85% 23k $350k (exactly $349,867) Helder Pinto, Chozabu (Alex PB), Novadu… (Helder Pinto, Chozabu (Alex PB), Novadust Entertainment)
Hypogea $9.99 817 97% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) Charlie Wagner
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Fun with Ragdolls Plus $19.99 191 76% 5.7k $115k (exactly $114,543) Jadon Barnes
Misc. A Tiny Tale $19.99 112 99% 3.4k $67k (exactly $67,166) Tinyware Games
Toree Saturn $4.99 413 93% 12k $62k (exactly $61,826) Siactro
Automaton Heart $14.99 79 96% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,526) Luke Vincent

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.