Do I ship it?

Games3D Platformer3D Platformer + Rhythm

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Rhythm 3D Platformer?

3D Platformer + Rhythm

Of 41 developers who shipped a Rhythm 3D Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 58 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 26 developers shipped in the last year and 58 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 58 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
3D Platformer + Rhythm
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 41
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $90 → $1.5k → $599 → $90 → $120 (still earning) → $598 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for 3D Platformer + Rhythm: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 41
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.3k (exactly $1,317)
Top 5% $31k (exactly $30,549)
Developers, 2 yr 41
Released games 153
Announced 58
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

3D Platformer
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rhythm
effort 3 / 10 · medium · audio sync, timing precision and music rights

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
3D Platformer, Rhythm; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 1,345 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.3k, 1 in 20 over $30k.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 27 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 58 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

3D Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + TransportationFair13 devs · median $3.1k · 12 announced
  2. + MiningFair11 devs · median $1.3k · 11 announced
  3. + Dating SimFair36 devs · median $748 · 29 announced
  4. + GolfFair16 devs · median $719 · 16 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair44 devs · median $716 · 39 announced
  6. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  7. + Survival HorrorFair111 devs · median $539 · 104 announced
  8. + Perma DeathFair36 devs · median $537 · 36 announced
  9. + AutomationFair25 devs · median $450 · 21 announced
  10. + OffroadLong shot14 devs · median $478 · 12 announced
  11. + Looter ShooterLong shot23 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  12. + CatsLong shot66 devs · median $420 · 74 announced

All 216 pairs on the 3D Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
No Straight Roads: Encore Edition older $24.99 1,813 89% 54k $1.4M (exactly $1,359,206) Metronomik
Metro Gravity $12.99 852 92% 26k $332k (exactly $332,024) mrkogamedev
Gurumin: A Monstrous Adventure older $9.99 692 91% 21k $207k (exactly $207,392) Nihon Falcom, Mastiff
Music Racer older $1.99 3,332 87% 100k $199k (exactly $198,920) AbstractArt
Giraffe and Annika older $19.99 293 92% 8.8k $176k (exactly $175,712) atelier mimina
Kizuna AI - Touch the Beat! older $34.99 65 86% 2.0k $68k (exactly $68,230) Gemdrops, Inc.
BrebeMan $9.99 115 100% 3.5k $34k (exactly $34,466) MetaFormingPro
Ultimate Drummer $5.99 170 98% 5.1k $31k (exactly $30,549) Cool 3D World
Blast Beat older $19.99 46 93% 1.4k $28k (exactly $27,586) gz.inc
Dance Eden $19.99 42 85% 1.3k $25k (exactly $25,187) DigiEden
Lunars · EA $14.99 40 97% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,988) Anubis Arts
The PARADOGX Incident $10.99 25 92% 750 $8.2k (exactly $8,242) Artibex
CYBERSLAYER: No Time to Regret $4.99 25 92% 750 $3.7k (exactly $3,742) KAEV Games
Hypotheses on the Symmetry between Vision and Hands $1.99 54 96% 1.6k $3.2k (exactly $3,224) Finger tip
Scuttle $6.99 15 100% 450 $3.1k (exactly $3,146) Altered Self Games
PathUp! $6.99 7 85% 210 $1.5k (exactly $1,468) Geghamyan Hrachya

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.